Warrnambool Race 12

One More Race To Go

Prize Money: $2,925

PAW PAVLOV (1) scored two back by a space then was last start always well back and could manage only a 7 length 7th at Horsham (23.41). Form from his last run is proving to be solid. Should bounce back. MAJOR MIKE (2) has been out of the placings last two but shapes well for this if he can recapture his fast win a few runs back, getting around Horsham over 410m in 23.23. Must include on winning run three back. SUPER SEQUIOA (8) was narrowly beaten when placing two back but missed the frame latest finishing fourth (16.90) in a Special conditions race at Murray Bridge. Can turn it around this time. LADY REPLICAS (7) is a last-start placegetter who is in the mix again.

Distance: 390m
Class: Grade 5
Track: Good
Weather: fine
Surface: All Weather

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Paw Pavlov (1) 1623455517
Trainer: Andrea Gurry (Nhill)
Prize Money: $14,160
Win / Place: 20% / 50%

2 yo Black D

Sire: JS FLAMIN ACE (USA)

Dam: DYNA ADRIA (AUS)

Rating

Stats

Career

30: 6-2-7

Track

5: 1-1-1

Trk/Dst

5: 1-1-1

Distance

5: 1-1-1

Season

22: 4-2-5

Country

30: 6-2-7

1st Up

1: 0-0-1

2nd Up

1: 0-0-0

Winning Distances
<400	400+	500+	600+	700+
2	4	0	0	0

Box History	1	2	4	5	6	7	8
STARTS	2	3	4	2	7	2	10
1st	0	0	1	0	2	1	2
2nd	0	0	1	0	1	0	0
3rd	0	1	0	1	2	0	3

Comments

Ordinary effort last start when he got back too far over 410m at Horsham. Prior to that won comfortably by 5 lengths at Horsham (23.17) beating Solar Jessie in a Grade 5 H on February 28. Has a strong 22.2 PB at this course and distance. Hard to beat.

Expected Early Speed:Midfield

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Box	Ran	Avg. Speed	Margin	SP	Win Time	BON	Class	Prize	Prize Won	Days	Result
7th of 7	7/3/25	Horsham	410m	2	00:23.41	NaN km/h	7.2L	$15	23410	0:22.88	Grade 5 Final	$7,330	-	7	1. PRETTY PIPA 2. FOR PETE'S SAKE 3. DOONGALLA NOMES
1st of 7	28/2/25	Horsham	410m	6	00:23.17	NaN km/h	5.14L	$16	23170	0:22.89	Grade 5 Heat	$2,930	$1,950	3	1. PAW PAVLOV 2. SOLAR JESSIE 3. MYRNIONG STITCH
5th of 6	25/2/25	Horsham	410m	8	00:23.55	NaN km/h	6.86L	$8.00	23550	0:22.99	Mixed 3/4	$3,360	-	7	1. LEGGETT BALE 2. GAS LANTERN 3. ECO BALE
5th of 7	18/2/25	Horsham	410m	8	00:23.66	NaN km/h	11.33L	$10	23660	0:22.87	Mixed 4/5	$3,360	-	14	1. ECO BALE 2. CORTEZ BALE 3. GOT THE CASH
5th of 7	4/2/25	Warragul	400m	1	00:23.11	NaN km/h	5.56L	$2.70	23110	0:22.36	Grade 5	$2,930	-	18	1. JUMBUK JOHNNY 2. TERRORISING TOM 3. JUICY GOSSIP
4th of 7	17/1/25	Bendigo	425m	6	0:24.35	62.8 km/h	2.1L	$10	0:24.20	0:23.55	GR 5	$2,930	$75	8	1. Cornhill Prince 2. Post The Zipper 3. Elena's Jebrynah

Major Mike (2) 3355336174
Trainer: William Hartigan (Haven)
Prize Money: $27,590
Win / Place: 15% / 55%

3 yo Black D

Sire: TOMMY SHELBY (AUS)

Dam: MY LUCKY MIA (AUS)

Rating

Stats

Career

65: 10-9-17

Track

3: 0-0-0

Trk/Dst

3: 0-0-0

Distance

4: 0-0-0

Season

20: 3-1-5

Country

65: 10-9-17

1st Up

2: 2-0-0

2nd Up

2: 1-0-1

Winning Distances
<400	400+	500+	600+	700+
6	4	0	0	0

Box History	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
STARTS	8	14	5	10	6	10	5	7
1st	1	5	2	2	0	0	0	0
2nd	0	0	1	2	1	1	2	2
3rd	6	3	0	2	2	3	1	0

Comments

Was big odds last time but gave a huge sight after a fast early split, weakening late to finish a 2.25 lengths fourth (22.42) over 390m at this track. Key chance on best form.

Expected Early Speed:Midfield

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Box	Ran	Avg. Speed	Margin	SP	Win Time	BON	Class	Prize	Prize Won	Days	Result
4th of 8	6/3/25	Warrnambool	390m	5	00:22.42	NaN km/h	2.09L	$23	22420	0:21.97	Grade 5	$2,930	$75	7	1. PAW VARNER 2. CRUSH YOUR RUSH 3. TRICKY RIDDLES
7th of 8	27/2/25	Warrnambool	390m	8	00:22.83	NaN km/h	10L	$10	22830	0:21.95	Grade 5	$2,930	-	9	1. ICE BATH FORTH 2. COME AND SEE 3. MISCHIEF MATE
1st of 7	18/2/25	Horsham	410m	2	00:23.23	NaN km/h	2.6L	$6.50	23230	0:22.87	Grade 5	$2,930	$1,950	11	1. MAJOR MIKE 2. PAW JULIA 3. MORAINE BELLA
6th of 7	7/2/25	Horsham	410m	1	00:23.61	NaN km/h	3.76L	$18	23610	0:23.09	Grade 5 Final	$5,430	-	10	1. MIKE ANGELO ZEAL 2. FOR PETE'S SAKE 3. MYOLA NICK
3rd of 7	28/1/25	Horsham	410m	1	00:23.35	NaN km/h	6.24L	$21	23350	0:22.92	Grade 5 Heat	$2,930	$300	7	1. BLESSED RAIN 2. MASANI GIRL 3. MAJOR MIKE
3rd of 5	21/1/25	Horsham	410m	1	0:23.37	63.2 km/h	7.5L	$16	0:22.87	0:22.87	GR 4/5	$3,360	$345	7	1. Extradited 2. Solar Spectrum 3. Major Mike

Aston Elena (3) 4135322364
Trainer: Mark McClelland (Lovely Banks)
Prize Money: $24,305
Win / Place: 30% / 72%

2 yo Black B

Sire: ASTON DEE BEE (AUS)

Dam: ASTON LOPEZ (AUS)

Rating

Stats

Career

40: 12-8-9

Track

1: 0-0-0

Trk/Dst

1: 0-0-0

Distance

5: 1-1-0

Season

28: 6-7-6

Country

40: 12-8-9

1st Up

2: 1-0-1

2nd Up

2: 2-0-0

Winning Distances
<400	400+	500+	600+	700+
9	3	0	0	0

Box History	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
STARTS	4	6	7	9	2	2	7	3
1st	0	3	3	0	2	1	3	0
2nd	1	2	1	3	0	0	1	0
3rd	2	0	1	1	0	0	2	3

Comments

Was out of placings last time (22.44) at this track in a Grade 5, finishing fourth and beaten 5.5 lengths. Goes very well off the draw boasting three wins and two places from seven starts. Makes appeal on best.

Expected Early Speed:Front Runner

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Box	Ran	Avg. Speed	Margin	SP	Win Time	BON	Class	Prize	Prize Won	Days	Result
4th of 8	6/3/25	Warrnambool	390m	3	00:22.44	NaN km/h	4.96L	$12	22440	0:21.97	Grade 5	$2,930	$75	59	1. LADY JULIA 2. SNOWBALL ONE 3. TARA'S LILY
59 Day Freshen-Up
6th of 8	6/1/25	Shepparton	390m	1	00:22.47	NaN km/h	5.79L	$12	22470	0:22.07	Mixed 4/5	$3,360	-	17	1. LET'S WIN OLLIE 2. ASTON JALAPENO 3. HIGHER FORCE
3rd of 8	20/12/24	Geelong	400m	8	00:22.84	NaN km/h	3.51L	$5.20	22840	0:22.43	Grade 5	$2,930	$300	11	1. SOLICIT 2. TORNADO TAHLIA 3. ASTON ELENA
2nd of 8	9/12/24	Shepparton	390m	2	00:22.18	NaN km/h	0.51L	$8.50	22180	0:21.77	Grade 5	$2,930	$600	3	1. URANA PANDA 2. ASTON ELENA 3. EAT YOUR SPINACH
2nd of 6	6/12/24	Wagga	320m	4	00:18.35	NaN km/h	0.5L	$12	18350	0:18.26	Non Graded	$2,630	$505	4	1. PEPPA'S DAUGHTER 2. ASTON ELENA 3. GOT A PRINCIPLE
3rd of 6	2/12/24	Wagga	320m	3	0:18.78	61.3 km/h	11.8L	$3.90	0:17.96	0:17.96	NG	$1,280	$125	3	1. So Delirious 2. Romantic Secret 3. Aston Elena

May Race Katie (4) 147337218x
Trainer: Mark Keane (Koroit)
Prize Money: $13,440
Win / Place: 26% / 63%

3 yo Black B

Sire: MEPUNGA CRUZER (AUS)

Dam: BIG BREBLER (AUS)

Rating

Stats

Career

19: 5-5-2

Track

13: 3-5-1

Trk/Dst

11: 3-3-1

Distance

11: 3-3-1

Country

19: 5-5-2

1st Up

2: 0-1-0

2nd Up

2: 1-0-0

Winning Distances
<400	400+	500+	600+	700+
3	2	0	0	0

Box History	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
STARTS	4	3	1	2	2	1	2	4
1st	2	1	1	0	1	0	0	0
2nd	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3
3rd	1	0	0	0	1	0	0	0

Comments

Back from a year spell and last resumed over 400m at Geelong where she was in the placings, finishing third. Happy to risk in this.

Expected Early Speed:Midfield

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Box	Ran	Avg. Speed	Margin	SP	Win Time	BON	Class	Prize	Prize Won	Days	Result
99th of 1	6/3/25	Warrnambool	390m	1	N/A	-	-	$0.00			Trial	$0	-	-	1. 99-May Race Katie 2. 3.
8th of 8	8/3/24	Bendigo	425m	1	00:24.80	NaN km/h	12.23L	$2.30	24800	0:23.69	Grade 5 Heat	$2,930	-	14	1. GAYLE BALE 2. BLACK COMPASS 3. HOCUS POCUS
1st of 8	23/2/24	Geelong	460m	2	00:25.91	NaN km/h	2.31L	$3.60	25910	0:25.67	Grade 5	$2,930	$1,950	8	1. MAY RACE KATIE 2. STAR'S HOPE 3. SPRING BLESSING
2nd of 7	15/2/24	Warrnambool	450m	8	00:25.70	NaN km/h	2.07L	$4.20	25700	0:25.14	Grade 5	$2,930	$600	27	1. SETTLEMENT DAY 2. MAY RACE KATIE 3. ORIANNA BALE
7th of 8	19/1/24	Geelong	400m	7	00:23.45	NaN km/h	11.56L	$5.90	23450	0:22.57	Mixed 4/5	$3,360	-	7	1. PETZEL BALE 2. STILL TO COME 3. RAICHU
3rd of 8	12/1/24	Geelong	400m	5	00:22.50	NaN km/h	3.86L	$7.90	22500	0:22.23	Mixed 4/5	$4,720	$475	6	1. GUNAI WIZARD 2. BLACKPOOL DOZER 3. MAY RACE KATIE

Cruisin' Cherry (5) 1312053565
Trainer: Danielle Keane (Koroit)
Prize Money: $28,160
Win / Place: 22% / 50%

4 yo Black B

Sire: MEPUNGA CRUZER (AUS)

Dam: MEPUNGA BELLA (AUS)

Rating

Stats

Career

53: 12-8-7

Track

24: 4-1-5

Trk/Dst

24: 4-1-5

Distance

33: 6-3-5

Season

24: 4-2-3

Country

53: 12-8-7

1st Up

6: 1-0-1

2nd Up

5: 1-1-0

Winning Distances
<400	400+	500+	600+	700+
7	5	0	0	0

Box History	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
STARTS	7	7	4	5	5	12	8	5
1st	1	1	2	4	0	1	2	1
2nd	1	1	0	0	2	3	0	1
3rd	1	2	0	0	1	1	1	1

Comments

Has been out of the money of late. Could only manage fifth last time out over 390m at this track. Safely held last time and looking to others.

Expected Early Speed:Midfield

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Box	Ran	Avg. Speed	Margin	SP	Win Time	BON	Class	Prize	Prize Won	Days	Result
5th of 8	6/3/25	Warrnambool	390m	7	00:22.53	NaN km/h	6.26L	$22	22530	0:21.97	Grade 5	$2,930	-	7	1. LADY JULIA 2. SNOWBALL ONE 3. TARA'S LILY
6th of 8	27/2/25	Warrnambool	390m	5	00:22.69	NaN km/h	7.97L	$19	22690	0:21.95	Grade 5	$2,930	-	7	1. ICE BATH FORTH 2. COME AND SEE 3. MISCHIEF MATE
5th of 8	20/2/25	Warrnambool	390m	5	00:22.64	NaN km/h	4.39L	$13	22640	0:22.13	Mixed 4/5	$3,360	-	7	1. PAW QUARK 2. NINETEEN CRIMES 3. MISS GEORGIE LEE
3rd of 8	13/2/25	Warrnambool	390m	6	00:22.38	NaN km/h	2.2L	$14	22380	0:21.93	Mixed 4/5	$3,360	$345	7	1. JOROGUMO 2. SANTORINI BALE 3. CRUISIN' CHERRY
5th of 8	6/2/25	Warrnambool	390m	2	00:22.41	NaN km/h	3.1L	$29	22410	0:21.86	Mixed 4/5	$3,360	-	49	1. ASTON KING 2. MOTOR HEAD MAXIM 3. WILDER
49 Day Freshen-Up
- of 8	19/12/24	Warrnambool	390m	1	0:28.75	48.8 km/h	99.0L	$5.70	0:21.82	0:21.82	GR 4/5	$3,360	-	8	1. Lightning Range 2. Blame Spencer 3. Solitary Flicker

Bismuth (6) 7251351771
Trainer: Anita Gibbons (Lara)
Prize Money: $22,360
Win / Place: 15% / 40%

3 yo Black D

Sire: SUPERIOR PANAMA (USA)

Dam: SHEZ IMPERIOUS (AUS)

100

Rating

Stats

Career

71: 11-5-13

Track

20: 5-3-2

Trk/Dst

14: 4-3-0

Distance

17: 4-3-0

Season

23: 6-1-2

Metro

2: 0-1-0

Country

69: 11-4-13

1st Up

1: 0-0-0

2nd Up

1: 0-0-1

Winning Distances
<400	400+	500+	600+	700+
4	7	0	0	0

Box History	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
STARTS	12	9	6	10	5	13	6	10
1st	4	2	0	1	1	2	1	0
2nd	1	1	1	1	0	1	0	0
3rd	5	1	1	0	0	1	1	4

Comments

Good effort to win last start by a neck over 400m at Geelong in a handy (22.95), beating Collinda Pops. Will find this a bit tougher, likely to struggle this time.

Expected Early Speed:Backmarker

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Box	Ran	Avg. Speed	Margin	SP	Win Time	BON	Class	Prize	Prize Won	Days	Result
1st of 4	6/3/25	Geelong	400m	1	00:22.95	NaN km/h	0.03L	$21	22950	0:22.85	Grade 5 T3	$1,530	$1,000	8	1. BISMUTH 2. COLLINDA POPS 3. DUCHESS GEORGIA
7th of 7	26/2/25	Ballarat	390m	7	00:23.37	NaN km/h	14.8L	$12	23370	0:21.92	Grade 5	$2,930	-	6	1. THAT'S A BOODIE 2. PALTROW BALE 3. MORAINE MILEY
7th of 8	20/2/25	Warrnambool	390m	8	00:22.75	NaN km/h	8.99L	$15	22750	0:22.13	Grade 5	$2,930	-	10	1. NIMBLE BENNY 2. BARNEY'S A LAD 3. OUTSMART
1st of 7	10/2/25	Warrnambool	390m	2	00:22.57	NaN km/h	1.77L	$3.60	22570	0:22.04	Grade 5	$1,530	$1,000	5	1. BISMUTH 2. LUCY DEEDS 3. SEANCE SAM
5th of 8	5/2/25	Ballarat	390m	2	00:22.56	NaN km/h	4.74L	$19	22560	0:21.80	Grade 5	$2,930	-	9	1. LETHAL AVENGER 2. CAN'T PARK THERE 3. MAKE IT THUNDER
3rd of 6	27/1/25	Shepparton	450m	1	0:25.90	62.5 km/h	2.7L	$9.50	0:25.71	0:25.20	GR 5	$2,930	$300	7	1. Tiger Shark 2. Atlas Amazon 3. Bismuth

Lady Replicas (7) 8224326542
Trainer: Mark Delbridge (Balliang)
Prize Money: $18,710
Win / Place: 22% / 52%

3 yo RED/FWN B

Sire: SENNACHIE (AUS)

Dam: GABBY KEEPING (AUS)

Rating

Stats

Career

36: 8-5-6

Track

5: 0-3-1

Trk/Dst

4: 0-3-1

Distance

10: 0-4-3

Season

19: 2-4-4

Metro

1: 0-0-0

Country

35: 8-5-6

1st Up

3: 2-0-0

2nd Up

3: 1-1-1

Winning Distances
<400	400+	500+	600+	700+
1	6	1	0	0

Box History	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
STARTS	6	3	7	4	5	1	8	2
1st	3	0	2	1	1	0	1	0
2nd	0	1	2	1	1	0	0	0
3rd	1	1	1	0	2	0	1	0

Comments

Finished second last start (22.57) over 390m at this track. Wide draw here. Solid top-three prospects.

Expected Early Speed:Midfield

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Box	Ran	Avg. Speed	Margin	SP	Win Time	BON	Class	Prize	Prize Won	Days	Result
2nd of 8	6/3/25	Warrnambool	390m	3	00:22.57	NaN km/h	0.46L	$4.10	22570	0:21.97	Grade 5	$2,930	$600	58	1. LAURISTON GIRL 2. LADY REPLICAS 3. PAW QUANDA
58 Day Freshen-Up
4th of 8	7/1/25	Warragul	400m	7	00:23.28	NaN km/h	4.76L	$4.40	23280	0:22.55	Grade 5	$2,930	$75	7	1. ASTON IMAGE 2. BIG TRUCKER 3. CATCH SOME RAYS
5th of 7	31/12/24	Warragul	400m	3	00:22.85	NaN km/h	2.59L	$6.10	22850	0:22.38	Grade 5 Heat	$2,930	-	4	1. MAN OF COURAGE 2. BEGGIN' 3. SHIV ROY
6th of 8	27/12/24	Geelong	400m	6	00:23.00	NaN km/h	7.41L	$12	23000	0:22.48	Grade 5	$2,930	-	4	1. LADY JULIA 2. TINKER MAV 3. DOT'S REDEEMER
2nd of 8	23/12/24	Shepparton	390m	2	00:22.42	NaN km/h	3.36L	$4.50	22420	0:22.17	Grade 5	$2,930	$600	6	1. MIKE ANGELO ZEAL 2. LADY REPLICAS 3. SILVER MACK
3rd of 8	17/12/24	Warragul	400m	7	0:22.83	63.1 km/h	5.6L	$12	0:22.44	0:22.26	GR 5	$2,930	$300	6	1. Hara's Buddy 2. Super Seattle 3. Lady Replicas

Super Sequioa (8) 21x2534624
Trainer: Trent Blacker (MITCHELL PARK)
Prize Money: $11,615
Win / Place: 20% / 66%

3 yo Black D

Sire: SHIMA SHINE (AUS)

Dam: SUPER C AZELLE (AUS)

Rating

Stats

Career

24: 5-6-5

Track

7: 0-1-3

Trk/Dst

5: 0-1-3

Distance

8: 1-2-4

Season

17: 2-4-4

Country

24: 5-6-5

1st Up

2: 1-1-0

2nd Up

2: 0-0-0

Winning Distances
<400	400+	500+	600+	700+
1	4	0	0	0

Box History	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
STARTS	4	3	4	3	4	1	3	2
1st	1	1	1	0	1	1	0	0
2nd	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	1
3rd	0	1	0	2	0	0	2	0

Comments

Out of the placings last time but the run prior he recorded a quick 16.69 over 300m finishing second at Murray Bridge Straight. Rates a chance if runs up to recent fast time.

Expected Early Speed:Backmarker

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Box	Ran	Avg. Speed	Margin	SP	Win Time	BON	Class	Prize	Prize Won	Days	Result
4th of 7	9/3/25	Murray Bridge (Mbr)	300m	7	00:16.90	NaN km/h	4.25L	$4.20	16900	0:16.59	Veterans Final	$3,000	-	5	1. YARRAMUNDI OPAL 2. MY REASON 3. IMPOSTER
2nd of 6	4/3/25	Murray Bridge (Mbs)	300m	1	00:16.69	NaN km/h	1.25L	$4.80	16690	0:16.55	Special Event Heat Non Penalty	$1,330	$270	19	1. MY REASON 2. SUPER SEQUIOA 3. WILPENA
6th of 7	13/2/25	Warrnambool	450m	4	00:25.76	NaN km/h	8.07L	$34	25760	0:25.19	Grade 5 Final	$9,580	-	7	1. SOLAR SPECTRUM 2. IDYLLIC JAMES 3. HIGHLY ABRASIVE
4th of 8	6/2/25	Warrnambool	450m	5	00:25.66	NaN km/h	7.91L	$16	25660	0:25.11	Grade 5 Heat	$2,930	$75	10	1. IDYLLIC JAMES 2. SPRINGER'S BOY 3. MAGNUM RIOT
3rd of 7	27/1/25	Shepparton	390m	7	00:22.42	NaN km/h	2.61L	$3.80	22420	0:22.23	Grade 5	$2,930	$300	4	1. TRICKY RIDDLES 2. SPRING WATCH 3. SUPER SEQUIOA
5th of 8	23/1/25	Warrnambool	390m	3	0:22.64	62.0 km/h	7.5L	$3.00	0:22.12	0:21.97	GR 5	$2,930	-	7	1. Mean Peace 2. My Lady Panama 3. Paw Lauren