Warrnambool Race 6

Paddy Wants Pats (300+ Rank)

Prize Money: $1,530

AERO EXPRESS (1) was safely held last time out, finishing fifth at Mt Gambier over 400m behind Rough Girl Ruby (24.29) in a TG1-4W. Solid formlines coming through his last run. Can bounce back. PAW LONDON (8) is rarely out of the finish, recording 23 places from 43 starts. Filled a minor placings again last time when third (22.61) at this track making it three placings in a row. Form at the trip sound including two wins. Still to record a win from this draw but has never missed the frame in four starts. Must be included in calculations. TOUCH OF SIN (7) has been settling off the speed lately, finishing sixth (22.57) last time in a Grade 5 at Ballarat. Should be thereabouts. MORAINE GRACE (3) is going well, finishing in the placings twice in a row. Not beaten far last time when a neck second (22.55) in a Bottom Up - Grade 5 at this track.

Distance: 390m
Class: Bottom Up - Grade 5
Track: Good
Weather: Fine
Surface: All Weather

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Aero Express (1) 13545x2345
Trainer: Kevin Mugavin (Killarney)
Prize Money: $8,970
Win / Place: 12% / 48%

3 yo Black D

Sire: AEROPLANE ERIC (AUS)

Dam: CLOONA LASS (AUS)

Rating

Stats

Career

31: 4-5-6

Track

22: 4-3-6

Trk/Dst

22: 4-3-6

Distance

22: 4-3-6

Season

5: 0-1-1

Country

31: 4-5-6

1st Up

2: 0-1-0

2nd Up

2: 0-1-1

Winning Distances
<400	400+	500+	600+	700+
4	0	0	0	0

Box History	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
STARTS	5	4	4	3	3	1	4	7
1st	0	0	1	1	1	0	0	1
2nd	0	0	0	1	1	0	1	2
3rd	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	2

Comments

Last start finished 5th over 400m at Mt Gambier beaten 10 lengths (24.29) behind Rough Girl Ruby in a TG1-4W on January 22. Was strongly supported last time but ran well below expectations. Worth another chance.

Expected Early Speed:Front Runner

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Box	Ran	Avg. Speed	Margin	SP	Win Time	BON	Class	Prize	Prize Won	Days	Result
5th of 6	22/1/26	Mount Gambier	400m	4	0:24.29	59.3 km/h	10.0L	$1.90	0:23.58	0:23.00	TG1-4W	$1,010	-	11	1. Rough Girl Ruby 2. Miracle Man 3. Rock It Kathy
4th of 5	11/1/26	Mount Gambier	400m	8	0:23.59	61.0 km/h	9.8L	$8.50	0:22.91	0:22.91	GR 6	$1,520	-	8	1. Compton Shelly 2. Vodka Sunrise 3. Belair Blue
3rd of 8	3/1/26	Warrnambool	390m	8	0:22.61	62.1 km/h	5.3L	$19	0:22.27	0:21.90	GR 5	$2,930	$300	31	1. Paw Jelani 2. She Rebel 3. Aero Express
31 Day Freshen-Up
2nd of 8	3/12/25	Warrnambool	390m	8	0:22.38	62.7 km/h	4.5L	$38	0:22.06	0:21.64	GR 5	$2,930	$600	122	1. Paw Brody 2. Aero Express 3. Holyfield Chic
122 Day Spell
5th of 6	3/8/25	Mount Gambier	400m	7	0:24.30	59.3 km/h	14.5L	$3.60	0:23.27	0:22.91	GR 6	$1,515	-	10	1. Aston Darwin 2. Eric Quirk 3. Sarah Louise
4th of 7	24/7/25	Mount Gambier	400m	2	0:23.94	60.2 km/h	8.3L	$2.30f	0:23.37	0:22.96	TG1-4W	$1,010	$125	7	1. Eric Quirk 2. Magic Poppy 3. Senior Citizen

Saint Xavier (2) 6436431357
Trainer: Peter Byrne (Koroit)
Prize Money: $19,735
Win / Place: 11% / 37%

3 yo RED/BDL D

Sire: FERNANDO BALE (AUS)

Dam: MEPUNGA STELLAR (AUS)

Rating

Stats

Career

70: 8-8-10

Track

49: 7-8-5

Trk/Dst

47: 7-8-5

Distance

50: 8-8-6

Season

21: 2-0-6

Country

70: 8-8-10

1st Up

1: 0-0-0

2nd Up

1: 1-0-0

Winning Distances
<400	400+	500+	600+	700+
8	0	0	0	0

Box History	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
STARTS	8	9	6	10	9	8	11	9
1st	3	1	1	1	1	1	0	0
2nd	0	1	1	3	0	0	0	3
3rd	0	2	1	1	3	0	1	2

Comments

Needs to do more than recent efforts, the latest a seventh over 390m at this track. Can't enthuse on this occasion.

Expected Early Speed:Midfield

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Box	Ran	Avg. Speed	Margin	SP	Win Time	BON	Class	Prize	Prize Won	Days	Result
7th of 8	29/1/26	Warrnambool	390m	8	0:22.82	61.5 km/h	7.7L	$31	0:22.28	0:21.91	GR 5	$2,930	-	14	1. Paw Lampades 2. Gold Stripes 3. Bush Circus
5th of 8	15/1/26	Warrnambool	390m	2	0:23.05	60.9 km/h	7.5L	$10	0:22.52	0:22.14	GR 5	$2,930	-	14	1. Paw Saundra 2. Paw Maddox 3. Drop Fifty
3rd of 5	1/1/26	Warrnambool	390m	2	0:22.69	61.9 km/h	9.8L	$4.40	0:22.04	0:22.04	Bottom Up - Grade 5	$1,530	$160	3	1. Hot Saki 2. Moraine Sofia 3. Saint Xavier
1st of 7	29/12/25	Warrnambool	390m	2	0:22.63	62.0 km/h	0.3L	$4.80	0:22.63	0:22.19	Bottom Up - Grade 5	$1,530	$1,000	7	1. Saint Xavier 2. Duke Caboom 3. Remarli
3rd of 8	22/12/25	Warrnambool	390m	5	0:23.36	60.1 km/h	17.3L	$16	0:22.22	0:22.22	Bottom Up - Grade 5	$1,530	$160	7	1. How Delightful 2. Panama Rebel 3. Saint Xavier
4th of 8	15/12/25	Warrnambool	390m	6	0:23.19	60.5 km/h	5.3L	$16	0:22.84	0:22.48	Bottom Up - Grade 5	$1,530	$50	6	1. Saint Jade 2. Seats Two 3. Northern Saint

Moraine Grace (3) 3445253422
Trainer: Raylene Gavin (Tower Hill)
Prize Money: $9,795
Win / Place: 10% / 36%

3 yo BLU B

Sire: KOBLENZ (AUS)

Dam: MORAINE COCO (AUS)

Rating

Stats

Career

50: 5-7-6

Track

20: 3-5-2

Trk/Dst

18: 3-5-2

Distance

25: 5-5-3

Season

21: 2-5-3

Country

50: 5-7-6

1st Up

3: 0-0-0

2nd Up

3: 0-0-1

Winning Distances
<400	400+	500+	600+	700+
5	0	0	0	0

Box History	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
STARTS	8	7	7	6	7	1	5	9
1st	0	2	0	1	0	1	0	1
2nd	1	0	1	1	0	0	1	3
3rd	1	2	0	0	1	0	0	2

Comments

Charged out of the boxes with a strong early sectional but bumped into one better when runner up (22.55) at this track over 390m. Better than the last couple of runs suggest. Expected to feature.

Expected Early Speed:Front Runner

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Box	Ran	Avg. Speed	Margin	SP	Win Time	BON	Class	Prize	Prize Won	Days	Result
2nd of 8	2/2/26	Warrnambool	390m	8	0:22.55	62.3 km/h	0.3L	$10	0:22.55	0:22.17	Bottom Up - Grade 5	$1,530	$320	7	1. Inga Amy 2. Moraine Grace 3. Paw London
2nd of 7	26/1/26	Warrnambool	390m	4	0:22.52	62.3 km/h	3.8L	$8.00	0:22.25	0:22.25	Bottom Up - Grade 5	$1,530	$320	18	1. Paw Linden 2. Moraine Grace 3. Saint Tay
4th of 6	8/1/26	Warrnambool	390m	5	0:22.91	61.3 km/h	9.3L	$12	0:22.29	0:22.29	Bottom Up - Grade 5	$1,530	$50	3	1. Imposter 2. Leap Of Faith 3. Seats Two
3rd of 6	5/1/26	Warrnambool	390m	2	0:22.54	62.3 km/h	9.5L	$7.00	0:21.91	0:21.91	Rank Limit - Grade 5	$1,530	$160	4	1. Concrete Kaos 2. Foghorn Jack 3. Moraine Grace
5th of 6	1/1/26	Mount Gambier	305m	4	0:18.12	60.6 km/h	5.8L	$5.00	0:17.72	0:17.51	Other	$1,070	-	10	1. Wild Star 2. Zinfandel Dash 3. Cadillac Landau
2nd of 7	22/12/25	Warrnambool	390m	3	0:22.74	61.7 km/h	0.3L	$4.20	0:22.73	0:22.22	Bottom Up - Grade 5	$1,530	$320	10	1. With The Wind 2. Moraine Grace 3. Jams Donuts

Hop To (4) 17x4341378
Trainer: Peter Keane (KOROIT)
Prize Money: $6,975
Win / Place: 11% / 43%

4 yo Black B

Sire: TOMMY BRISLANE (AUS)

Dam: SUNNINGDALE (AUS)

Rating

Stats

Career

51: 6-7-9

Track

10: 1-0-1

Trk/Dst

10: 1-0-1

Distance

10: 1-0-1

Season

7: 1-0-2

Country

51: 6-7-9

1st Up

4: 0-0-2

2nd Up

4: 0-0-3

Winning Distances
<400	400+	500+	600+	700+
3	3	0	0	0

Box History	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
STARTS	5	7	4	14	6	6	5	4
1st	2	0	0	2	0	1	0	1
2nd	1	0	0	3	1	1	0	1
3rd	1	2	0	2	2	1	0	1

Comments

Didn't make the placings last time at this track (22.91) in a Special conditions Veteran race, finishing a 9 length eighth. Has two wins and five placings from 14 starts from the draw. Looks a place chance at best.

Expected Early Speed:Midfield

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Box	Ran	Avg. Speed	Margin	SP	Win Time	BON	Class	Prize	Prize Won	Days	Result
8th of 8	29/1/26	Warrnambool	390m	4	0:22.91	61.3 km/h	9.8L	$81	0:22.23	0:21.91	SPEC VET	$2,930	-	26	1. Nineteen Crimes 2. Breakdown 3. Spring Watch
7th of 8	3/1/26	Warrnambool	390m	3	0:22.98	61.1 km/h	8.5L	$126	0:22.41	0:21.90	GR 5	$2,930	-	16	1. Is He Happy 2. Midnight Rebel 3. Bush Mayhem
3rd of 6	18/12/25	Warrnambool	390m	5	0:22.62	62.1 km/h	7.0L	$16	0:22.16	0:21.78	GR 5	$2,930	$300	14	1. Thermal Flame 2. Ruby's Show 3. Hop To
1st of 5	4/12/25	Mount Gambier	400m	1	0:23.22	62.0 km/h	2.5L	$12	0:23.22	0:22.94	Other	$1,070	$580	21	1. Hop To 2. Aston Azul 3. Eric Quirk, Aston Ramona
4th of 6	13/11/25	Mount Gambier	305m	7	0:18.00	61.0 km/h	6.5L	$26	0:17.54	0:17.54	Other	$1,070	$130	7	1. Lie To Me 2. Penny Pinto 3. Kerry's Cadillac
3rd of 6	6/11/25	Mount Gambier	305m	1	0:17.77	61.8 km/h	4.8L	$17	0:17.43	0:17.43	Other	$1,070	$160	28	1. Nicked Again 2. Flash Gordon 3. Hop To

Bush Circus (6) 2137871833
Trainer: Damian Fleming (Alvie)
Prize Money: $11,010
Win / Place: 17% / 45%

2 yo RED/FWN B

Sire: ORSON ALLEN (AUS)

Dam: DELLY VEDOVA (AUS)

100

Rating

Stats

Career

35: 6-5-5

Track

25: 4-5-5

Trk/Dst

25: 4-5-5

Distance

28: 5-5-5

Season

18: 4-1-4

Country

35: 6-5-5

1st Up

1: 0-0-0

2nd Up

1: 0-0-0

Winning Distances
<400	400+	500+	600+	700+
5	1	0	0	0

Box History	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
STARTS	5	5	2	7	3	7	2	4
1st	1	1	1	0	0	1	0	2
2nd	1	1	0	0	0	1	1	1
3rd	0	1	0	1	1	2	0	0

Comments

Finished in the minors at big odds last time when third (22.60) at this track, making it two placings on end. Will need plenty of luck.

Expected Early Speed:Midfield

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Box	Ran	Avg. Speed	Margin	SP	Win Time	BON	Class	Prize	Prize Won	Days	Result
3rd of 8	5/2/26	Warrnambool	390m	6	0:22.60	62.1 km/h	5.1L	$10	0:22.24	0:21.93	GR 5	$2,930	$300	7	1. Aston Warrior 2. She Rebel 3. Bush Circus
3rd of 8	29/1/26	Warrnambool	390m	4	0:22.35	62.8 km/h	1.0L	$18	0:22.28	0:21.91	GR 5	$2,930	$300	24	1. Paw Lampades 2. Gold Stripes 3. Bush Circus
8th of 8	5/1/26	Warrnambool	390m	4	0:22.88	61.4 km/h	12.8L	$7.50	0:22.03	0:21.91	Rank Limit - Grade 5	$1,530	-	6	1. Genesis Bale 2. Gold Stripes 3. Lara Moon
1st of 8	30/12/25	Horsham	410m	6	0:23.69	62.3 km/h	0.5L	$16	0:23.69	0:22.84	GR 5	$2,930	$1,950	8	1. Bush Circus 2. Lanky Larry 3. Paw Yaz
7th of 8	22/12/25	Ballarat	390m	5	0:23.39	60.0 km/h	14.8L	$10	0:22.41	0:22.35	GR 5	$1,530	-	13	1. Laid Back Lass 2. Tinker Conall 3. Dashing Jeff
8th of 8	9/12/25	Geelong	400m	4	0:23.62	61.0 km/h	12.6L	$31	0:22.74	0:22.74	Rank Limit - Grade 5	$1,530	-	6	1. Little Flower 2. Something Good 3. Bush Big Show

Touch Of Sin (7) 3273264466
Trainer: Jason Sharp (Lara)
Prize Money: $26,145
Win / Place: 18% / 60%

2 yo BDL B

Sire: HIGH EARNER (AUS)

Dam: DEVEL SIXTEEN (AUS)

Rating

Stats

Career

50: 9-8-13

Track

8: 0-2-4

Trk/Dst

7: 0-2-3

Distance

17: 1-5-4

Season

24: 3-4-6

Country

50: 9-8-13

1st Up

2: 2-0-0

2nd Up

2: 1-0-1

Winning Distances
<400	400+	500+	600+	700+
1	8	0	0	0

Box History	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
STARTS	5	3	7	9	4	6	6	10
1st	2	0	0	4	1	1	0	1
2nd	1	1	3	1	0	1	0	1
3rd	1	1	3	3	0	0	4	1

Comments

Was out of placings last time (22.57) at Ballarat in a Grade 5, finishing sixth and beaten 5.5 lengths. Yet to win but has placed four times from this draw. Looks one of the chances.

Expected Early Speed:Backmarker

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Box	Ran	Avg. Speed	Margin	SP	Win Time	BON	Class	Prize	Prize Won	Days	Result
6th of 7	4/2/26	Ballarat	390m	6	0:22.57	62.2 km/h	5.3L	$8.50	0:22.24	0:21.90	GR 5	$2,930	-	5	1. Lara Moon 2. Miss Koblenz 3. Hailey's Jet
6th of 8	30/1/26	Geelong	400m	4	0:23.28	61.9 km/h	10.7L	$14	0:22.53	0:22.36	GR 5	$2,930	-	7	1. Gloria's Entity 2. Laid Back Lass 3. Righteous Fury
4th of 6	23/1/26	Ballarat	390m	8	0:22.55	62.3 km/h	7.5L	$3.10	0:22.05	0:21.82	GR 5	$2,930	$75	30	1. Laid Back Lass 2. Harajuku Lass 3. Chantilly's Star
4th of 8	24/12/25	Ballarat	390m	8	0:22.32	62.9 km/h	6.5L	$4.60	0:21.88	0:21.88	GR 5	$2,930	$75	6	1. Impel 2. Tick Returns 3. Henriksen
6th of 8	18/12/25	Warrnambool	390m	7	0:22.35	62.8 km/h	8.5L	$12	0:21.78	0:21.78	GR 5	$2,930	-	10	1. Blue Labubu 2. Zipping Arvada 3. Little Darl
2nd of 7	8/12/25	Shepparton	390m	2	0:22.07	63.6 km/h	1.5L	$3.10	0:21.97	0:21.85	GR 4	$3,360	$690	5	1. Zero Killer 2. Touch Of Sin 3. Foxy Jay

Paw London (8) 4668525223
Trainer: Catherine Roberts (Terang)
Prize Money: $14,570
Win / Place: 9.30% / 62%

3 yo RED/BDL B

Sire: FERAL FRANKY (AUS)

Dam: WENDALIN BALE (AUS)

Rating

Stats

Career

43: 4-15-8

Track

10: 0-4-2

Trk/Dst

10: 0-4-2

Distance

12: 0-4-2

Season

17: 2-5-2

Metro

8: 1-2-2

Country

35: 3-13-6

1st Up

2: 0-1-1

2nd Up

1: 0-1-0

Winning Distances
<400	400+	500+	600+	700+
1	2	1	0	0

Box History	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
STARTS	5	6	5	5	6	3	9	4
1st	0	1	1	0	2	0	0	0
2nd	2	1	0	2	3	0	4	3
3rd	1	2	1	2	0	1	0	1

Comments

Struggling to break through but racing consistently, finishing in the minors three starts on end. Last time out flew the lids with a fast early sectional but gathered in and finished in the minors when third (22.61) at this track over 390m. Thereabouts at the last couple. Suited here and likely to run well.

Expected Early Speed:Front Runner

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Box	Ran	Avg. Speed	Margin	SP	Win Time	BON	Class	Prize	Prize Won	Days	Result
3rd of 8	2/2/26	Warrnambool	390m	4	0:22.61	62.1 km/h	1.0L	$5.00	0:22.55	0:22.17	Bottom Up - Grade 5	$1,530	$160	7	1. Inga Amy 2. Moraine Grace 3. Paw London
2nd of 7	26/1/26	Warrnambool	390m	1	0:22.63	62.0 km/h	0.1L	$1.70	0:22.62	0:22.25	Bottom Up - Grade 5	$1,530	$320	7	1. Aston Telmont 2. Paw London 3. Sicily
2nd of 8	19/1/26	Warrnambool	390m	7	0:22.29	63.0 km/h	1.8L	$4.40	0:22.19	0:22.16	Bottom Up - Grade 5	$1,530	$320	5	1. Dot's Redeemer 2. Paw London 3. Saint Tay
5th of 7	14/1/26	Ballarat	390m	1	0:22.52	62.3 km/h	6.3L	$14	0:22.11	0:21.82	GR 5	$2,930	-	6	1. How Delightful 2. Mia Coco 3. Concrete Kaos
2nd of 5	8/1/26	Warrnambool	390m	2	0:22.47	62.5 km/h	0.3L	$3.00	0:22.45	0:22.29	Bottom Up - Grade 5	$1,530	$320	10	1. Rabada 2. Paw London 3. Saint Raine
5th of 7	29/12/25	Warrnambool	390m	7	0:22.97	61.1 km/h	9.0L	$14	0:22.37	0:22.19	Bottom Up - Grade 5	$1,530	-	21	1. Inga Amy 2. Maddy Giblet 3. Moonlight Sid

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