Warrnambool Race 4

Paddy Wants Pats Warrnambool Derby Ht2

Prize Money: $3,360

SPENCER (2) had the drop on the lead from the rails draw last start but could only manage third, beaten 6 lengths (30.45) at The Meadows in a Special conditions H over 525m. Strong form has emerged from his last run. Sure to be about the mark. BETTER LIGHT UP (8) hit the frame last time at Sale but the start prior rocketed around 435m at Sale in 24.29. Rates a leading chance if runs up to recent winning time. GREYSYND SAMMY (7) was in the minors two back (27.50) at Horsham but ran below best last time at The Meadows, finishing 8th. The form from his last run stacks up well. Must be included in calculations. FORBES SUPREME (4) can sneak into the finish with the right run.

Distance: 450m
Class: S/E Heat
Track: Good
Weather: Showers
Surface: All Weather

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Black Statesman (1) 13511f5222
Trainer: Dustin Drew (Dennington)
Prize Money: $10,020
Win / Place: 17% / 70%

Nearing Another Win

2 yo Black D

Sire: FERAL FRANKY

Dam: LADY PANDORA

Rating

Stats

Career

17: 3-7-2

Track

6: 0-3-1

Trk/Dst

4: 0-2-0

Distance

4: 0-2-0

Season

12: 3-4-2

Country

17: 3-7-2

1st Up

1: 0-1-0

2nd Up

1: 0-1-0

Winning Distances
<400	400+	500+	600+	700+
1	2	0	0	0

Box History	1	3	4	5	6	7	8
STARTS	2	2	3	3	1	2	4
1st	0	0	2	0	0	0	1
2nd	2	2	0	2	0	0	1
3rd	0	0	0	1	0	0	1

Comments

Finished second (23.60) at Horsham last time making it three placings in a row. Drawn the inside. Looks tested in this line-up.

Expected Early Speed:Midfield

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Box	Ran	Avg. Speed	Margin	SP	Win Time	BON	Class	Prize	Prize Won	Days	Result
2nd of 6	23/12/24	Horsham	410m	1	0:23.60	62.5 km/h	4.5L	$1.60	0:23.31	0:23.13	GR 5	$2,930	-	5	1. My Lady Panama 2. Black Statesman 3. Jacaerys Bale
2nd of 8	18/12/24	Ballarat	390m	5	0:22.44	62.6 km/h	0.9L	$7.00	0:22.37	0:22.07	GR 5	$2,930	-	14	1. Sha Tin King 2. Black Statesman 3. Aston Jalapeno
2nd of 8	4/12/24	Warrnambool	390m	1	0:22.28	63.0 km/h	2.4L	$3.90	0:22.12	0:22.03	GR 5	$2,930	-	8	1. Show Cause 2. Black Statesman 3. Laid Back Lass
5th of 8	26/11/24	Horsham	410m	7	0:23.46	62.9 km/h	4.0L	$16	0:23.18	0:22.97	GR 5	$2,930	-	47	1. Leo Bale 2. Gas Lantern 3. Entertainment
47 Day Freshen-Up
- of 8	10/10/24	Warrnambool	450m	6	0:32.12	50.4 km/h	99.0L	$11	0:25.19	0:25.19	GR 5	$2,930	-	9	1. Sydney Show 2. Knockout Norm 3. Miss Mary Jo
1st of 7	1/10/24	Horsham	410m	4	0:23.22	63.6 km/h	1.7L	$1.90	0:23.22	0:22.85	GR 6	$2,930	-	7	1. Black Statesman 2. Is He Lucky 3. Paw Olympia

Spencer (2) 1211718433
Trainer: Matthew Marshall (Darley)
Prize Money: $29,395
Win / Place: 33% / 80%

Nearing Another Win

2 yo Black D

Sire: ASTON RUPEE

Dam: DISTINCT

100

Rating

Stats

Career

15: 5-3-4

Distance

1: 0-0-0

Season

13: 4-2-4

Metro

12: 4-3-3

Country

3: 1-0-1

1st Up

1: 0-1-0

2nd Up

1: 1-0-0

Winning Distances
<400	400+	500+	600+	700+
0	1	4	0	0

Box History	1	3	4	5	7	8
STARTS	4	2	2	1	2	4
1st	0	0	2	0	1	2
2nd	1	1	0	0	1	0
3rd	2	0	0	1	0	1

Comments

Has placed the last couple. Ran 30.45 when third at The Meadows latest but the run prior he clocked a solid 24.02 over 425m finishing third at Bendigo. Looks the one to beat on run two back.

Expected Early Speed:Front Runner

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Box	Ran	Avg. Speed	Margin	SP	Win Time	BON	Class	Prize	Prize Won	Days	Result
3rd of 7	7/12/24	The Meadows	525m	1	0:30.45	62.1 km/h	6.7L	$5.00	0:29.98	0:29.59	SPEC H	$9,060	-	8	1. Giacomo 2. Raven Peter 3. Spencer
3rd of 8	29/11/24	Bendigo	425m	5	0:24.02	63.7 km/h	5.3L	$5.50	0:23.65	0:23.63	GR 4/5	$3,360	-	30	1. Packham Prince 2. Paw Tabitha 3. Spencer
4th of 8	30/10/24	Ballarat	450m	1	0:25.66	63.1 km/h	4.7L	$2.90	0:25.33	0:25.27	GR 5	$2,930	-	7	1. Kade 2. Paw Yanelle 3. Hi There Frank
8th of 8	23/10/24	The Meadows	525m	3	0:31.10	60.8 km/h	17.3L	$2.20	0:29.89	0:29.89	GR 5 H	$3,340	-	9	1. Nicki Whoop 2. Paw Zelini 3. Shanlyn Scout
1st of 7	14/10/24	Sandown	515m	7	0:29.85	62.1 km/h	0.4L	$4.00	0:29.85	0:29.64	GR 4/5	$3,880	-	18	1. Spencer 2. Ruxton Flame 3. Dream On Allan
7th of 8	26/9/24	Sandown	515m	8	0:30.14	61.5 km/h	5.1L	$3.90	0:29.79	0:29.29	GR 5	$8,790	-	5	1. Raven Peter 2. Voice Of Thunder 3. Fill Your Boots

Forbes Supreme (4) 4585511136
Trainer: Scott Forbes (Hopetoun Park)
Prize Money: $19,230
Win / Place: 25% / 48%

2 yo FWN D

Sire: FERAL FRANKY (AUS)

Dam: SWEET ON ME (AUS)

Rating

Stats

Career

27: 7-3-3

Distance

4: 0-0-2

Season

15: 4-2-1

Metro

16: 5-2-1

Country

11: 2-1-2

1st Up

1: 1-0-0

2nd Up

1: 1-0-0

Winning Distances
<400	400+	500+	600+	700+
2	0	5	0	0

Box History	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8
STARTS	8	2	3	3	2	3	4	2
1st	2	1	1	0	0	2	1	0
2nd	2	0	0	0	0	0	1	0
3rd	1	0	0	0	1	1	0	0

Comments

Missed the frame last start when sixth but had been in strong form prior to that, winning three on end before placing two back. Looks a danger to the top few if returns to best form this time.

Expected Early Speed:Midfield

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Box	Ran	Avg. Speed	Margin	SP	Win Time	BON	Class	Prize	Prize Won	Days	Result
6th of 7	23/12/24	Sandown	515m	4	0:30.15	61.5 km/h	5.5L	$21	0:29.76	0:29.71	FFA	$3,880	-	23	1. Shake It Off 2. Lure Of Kilkenny 3. No More Games
3rd of 7	30/11/24	Sandown	515m	1	0:29.82	62.2 km/h	3.9L	$4.00	0:29.55	0:29.24	GR 5	$8,790	-	5	1. Whatever Tess 2. Zygon Bale 3. Forbes Supreme
1st of 8	25/11/24	Sandown	515m	7	0:29.92	62.0 km/h	2.5L	$2.50	0:29.92	0:29.49	GR 5 FIN	$3,880	-	7	1. Forbes Supreme 2. Penny's Jade 3. Almost Imminent
1st of 8	18/11/24	Sandown	515m	1	0:29.73	62.4 km/h	0.9L	$1.40	0:29.73	0:29.43	T3 GR 5 H	$3,340	-	7	1. Forbes Supreme 2. Flying Butcher 3. It's A Runaway
1st of 8	11/11/24	Sandown	515m	6	0:29.98	61.8 km/h	2.2L	$3.00	0:29.98	0:29.47	GR 5 NP	$3,340	-	9	1. Forbes Supreme 2. Penny's Jade 3. Flying Butcher
5th of 8	2/11/24	Sandown	515m	3	0:30.36	61.1 km/h	9.5L	$3.00	0:29.69	0:29.56	GR 5	$3,340	-	10	1. Gold Maree 2. Break In 3. Magic Dark Star

Time To Fire (5) 41341117
Trainer: Damien Smith (Newcastle)
Prize Money: $5,450
Win / Place: 50% / 62%

1 yo BDL D

Sire: FERNANDO BALE

Dam: MALLEE DREAMER

Rating

Stats

Career

8: 4-0-1

Season

8: 4-0-1

Metro

4: 2-0-0

Country

4: 2-0-1

1st Up

1: 0-0-0

2nd Up

1: 1-0-0

Winning Distances
<400	400+	500+	600+	700+
1	0	3	0	0

Box History	1	2	3	5	8
STARTS	4	1	1	1	1
1st	2	1	0	1	0
2nd	0	0	0	0	0
3rd	1	0	0	0	0

Comments

Did a good job two starts back at Angle Park to win by 2.25 lengths in 30.77, beating Paw Shayna. Last start finished 7th on December 19 over 530m at Angle Park behind Bewitch beaten 6 lengths (31.45) in a Special conditions race. Not likely to feature on this occasion.

Expected Early Speed:Midfield

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Box	Ran	Avg. Speed	Margin	SP	Win Time	BON	Class	Prize	Prize Won	Days	Result
7th of 8	19/12/24	Angle Park	530m	3	0:31.45	60.7 km/h	6.0L	$3.50	0:31.03	0:30.35	SPEC	$14,350	-	5	1. Bewitch 2. Paw Shayna 3. Dakota Shine
1st of 8	14/12/24	Angle Park	530m	5	0:30.77	62.0 km/h	2.3L	$3.70	0:30.77	0:30.77	SPEC	$2,400	-	5	1. Time To Fire 2. Paw Shayna 3. Anna Valentina
1st of 6	9/12/24	Angle Park	530m	2	0:30.97	61.6 km/h	0.1L	$1.80	0:30.97	0:30.81	GR 6	$1,740	-	17	1. Time To Fire 2. Mr. Oberon 3. Auntie Clare
1st of 5	22/11/24	Murray Bridge	530m	1	0:29.85	63.9 km/h	4.3L	$1.60	0:29.85	0:29.85	GR 6	$1,860	-	3	1. Time To Fire 2. Fantastic Helga 3. Exultant McLaren
4th of 6	19/11/24	Horsham	485m	8	0:27.65	63.1 km/h	3.2L	$2.70	0:27.43	0:27.02	MX 6/7 H	$3,340	-	9	1. Paw Quinby 2. Moraine Grace 3. Mister Manfredi
3rd of 6	10/11/24	Murray Bridge	455m	1	0:26.03	62.9 km/h	1.0L	$2.70	0:25.96	0:25.61	GR 6	$1,740	-	7	1. Sudoku Jaxon 2. Victa Debbie 3. Time To Fire, Canya Express

Greysynd Sammy (7) 2121377728
Trainer: Michael Chilcott (Heathcote)
Prize Money: $37,995
Win / Place: 16% / 60%

2 yo Black D

Sire: BLACK MAGIC OPAL

Dam: IT'S A WISH

Rating

Stats

Career

25: 4-6-5

Track

1: 0-0-0

Trk/Dst

1: 0-0-0

Distance

9: 2-3-1

Season

18: 3-5-5

Metro

9: 0-1-2

Country

16: 4-5-3

1st Up

1: 0-1-0

2nd Up

1: 0-0-0

Winning Distances
<400	400+	500+	600+	700+
0	2	2	0	0

Box History	1	2	4	5	6	7	8
STARTS	4	2	2	6	3	5	3
1st	0	0	0	1	0	1	2
2nd	1	0	1	0	0	3	1
3rd	1	1	0	1	2	0	0

Comments

Was out of the placings last time but the start prior finished in the minors when second (27.50) at big odds over 485m at Horsham. Drawn out wide but in the mix on his best form.

Expected Early Speed:Backmarker

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Box	Ran	Avg. Speed	Margin	SP	Win Time	BON	Class	Prize	Prize Won	Days	Result
8th of 8	21/12/24	The Meadows	525m	1	0:30.82	61.3 km/h	13.0L	$12	0:29.95	0:29.62	GR 5	$8,790	-	4	1. Bomb Luca 2. Pat Ability 3. Paw Ike
2nd of 8	17/12/24	Horsham	485m	7	0:27.50	63.5 km/h	1.3L	$9.00	0:27.41	0:27.12	GR 4/5	$3,880	-	10	1. Zygon Bale 2. Greysynd Sammy 3. Qilin Bale
7th of 7	7/12/24	The Meadows	525m	6	0:30.61	61.7 km/h	7.0L	$23	0:30.11	0:29.59	SPEC H	$9,060	-	12	1. Epitomize 2. Extradited 3. Paw Kramer
7th of 7	25/11/24	Sandown	515m	7	0:30.01	61.8 km/h	5.0L	$6.00	0:29.66	0:29.49	RST WIN H	$3,340	-	10	1. Piebald 2. Two Boo Hook 3. Cosmic Reward
7th of 7	15/11/24	Sandown	515m	2	0:30.06	61.7 km/h	8.3L	$18	0:29.47	0:28.94	SPEC	$9,060	-	9	1. Good Odds Cobber 2. Fernando Phil 3. Vista Yttrium
3rd of 8	6/11/24	The Meadows	525m	2	0:30.28	62.4 km/h	5.2L	$5.00	0:29.92	0:29.90	GR 4/5	$3,880	-	5	1. MacKinaw Peach 2. Honey Zen 3. Greysynd Sammy

Better Light Up (8) 1251313713
Trainer: David Geall (Lara)
Prize Money: $8,385
Win / Place: 40% / 80%

2 yo FWN D

Sire: FERAL FRANKY

Dam: ARMATREE KAYCEE

Rating

Stats

Career

10: 4-1-3

Season

10: 4-1-3

Country

10: 4-1-3

1st Up

1: 1-0-0

2nd Up

1: 0-1-0

Winning Distances
<400	400+	500+	600+	700+
2	2	0	0	0

Box History	1	2	3	4	5	6	7
STARTS	1	2	1	1	1	2	2
1st	1	1	0	0	1	1	0
2nd	0	0	0	0	0	0	1
3rd	0	1	0	1	0	1	0

Comments

Turned in a good run last time, placing (24.69) at Sale in a Restricted WIN H. Lines up from box 8 for the first time. Expected to go close.

Expected Early Speed:Midfield

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Box	Ran	Avg. Speed	Margin	SP	Win Time	BON	Class	Prize	Prize Won	Days	Result
3rd of 6	20/12/24	Sale	435m	6	0:24.69	63.4 km/h	2.1L	$1.60	0:24.55	0:24.11	RST WIN H	$2,930	-	5	1. Both Sides 2. Hay Riley 3. Bombshell Banjo, Better Light Up
1st of 8	15/12/24	Sale	435m	6	0:24.29	64.5 km/h	1.5L	$10	0:24.29	0:24.27	GR 5	$2,930	-	9	1. Better Light Up 2. Takumi Bale 3. Bruce's Shout
7th of 8	6/12/24	Geelong	460m	3	0:26.39	62.8 km/h	8.8L	$10	0:25.77	0:25.76	GR 5	$2,930	-	7	1. Bronelly Striker 2. Paw Phelps 3. Paw Fredrick
3rd of 7	29/11/24	Bendigo	425m	4	0:24.27	63.0 km/h	3.7L	$5.50	0:24.01	0:23.63	GR 5	$2,930	-	9	1. Let's Win Ollie 2. Lulu's Ride 3. Better Light Up
1st of 8	20/11/24	Ballarat	390m	1	0:22.06	63.6 km/h	0.7L	$1.70	0:22.06	0:21.84	RST WIN	$2,930	-	25	1. Better Light Up 2. Blackpool Ranger 3. Check It Out
3rd of 8	26/10/24	Dubbo	400m	2	0:23.27	61.9 km/h	8.3L	$3.20	0:22.69	0:22.36	MX	$10,380	-	7	1. Bernardo Beach 2. Fletcher Keeping 3. Better Light Up

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