Mombetsu Race 6

1600

Prize Money: $6,040

WILL MISCHIEVOUS (5) gets the nod in a race where the main chances are quite well exposed. He has filled second at his past two Mombetsu runs, including when beaten three lengths by Blue Cosmos as an odds-on favourite, and his two wins and three placings from six starts at this track and distance give him the strongest suitability profile. MUSCLE CHUMMY (6) is the obvious danger after winning by five lengths from Summer Bride as an odds-on favourite, with her narrow second to Mana Sky beforehand confirming the form is no one-off. BLAST BLACK (7) has been beaten two lengths into second at his past two and owns a perfect top-three record from five starts, although he still has to convert that consistency. M P FLIP (1) closed strongly into third at big odds last start and has minor-money claims if that effort is repeated.

Distance: 1600m
Track: Good
Weather: -
Surface: Dirt
Class: C3C4

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M P Flip (1) 9047473473
Trainer: Masahiro Saito()
Jockey: Yuuta Ogawa
Weight: 54kg
Prize Money: $29,104
Win / Place: 7.69% / 26%

4 yo Grey Horse

Sire: DEE MAJESTY (JPN)

Dam: COSMO FLIP (JPN)

Rating

Stats

Career

26: 2-1-4

Distance

3: 0-1-1

Trk/Dst

2: 0-0-1

Track

18: 2-0-4

Season

16: 0-1-2

1st Up

2: 0-0-1

2nd Up

2: 1-0-1

3rd Up

2: 1-0-0

4th Up

2: 0-0-0

Metro

1: 0-0-0

Non-Metro

25: 2-1-4

Turf

1: 0-0-0

Good

1: 0-0-0

Dirt

25: 2-1-4

Firm

11: 1-0-1

Clockwise

26: 2-1-4

Jockey Stats

Horse

1: 0-0-1

Trainer

W 0% P 0%

Distance

W 0% P 0%

Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Distance

W 0% P 0%

Distance Range Last 6 months

1000m - 1600m

Comments

Worked home strongly for third behind Blue Cosmos in a 3yo+ C3 at Mombetsu last start, beaten four and a half lengths at big odds on fast ground. That was a clear lift on the start prior, when last behind Mana Sky after settling rearward and weakening badly. He tends to be ridden off the speed, so needs to be brought into the race at the right time, but the latest run gives him a genuine place profile.

Expected Settling Position: Midfield

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Class	Barrier	Jockey	Weight	Cond.	Race Time	Avg. Speed	Margin	800/400	SP	Days	Prize	Prize Won	Result
3rd of 7	10/9/26	Monbetsu	1500m	C3 3U	3	Yuta Ogawa	54kg	Fast	1:36.80	55.8 km/h	4.5L	5-6	$106	14	$5,791	$746	1. Blue Cosmos 2. Will Mischievous 3. M P Flip
7th of 7	27/8/26	Monbetsu	1600m	C3 3U	3	Yuji Iwahashi	57kg	Good	1:45.10	54.8 km/h	20.0L	4-7	$24	14	$5,789	-	1. Mana Sky 2. Will Mischievous 3. Blissful Year
4th of 10	13/8/26	Monbetsu	1500m	C3 3U	7	Yuki Miyauchi	57kg	Fast	1:38.40	54.9 km/h	3.1L	2-2	$27	14	$5,789	$497	1. Moon Rainbow 2. Blue Cosmos 3. Will Mischievous
3rd of 11	30/7/26	Monbetsu	1600m	C3 3U	11	Yuji Iwahashi	57kg	Good	1:43.80	55.5 km/h	4.5L	4-3	$114	15	$5,832	$751	1. Ufufuto Runna 2. Yamanin Elama 3. M P Flip
7th of 10	15/7/26	Monbetsu	1000m	C3 3U	1	Eita Inoue	57kg	Good	1:02.20	57.9 km/h	6.8L	9-8	$70	14	$8,023	-	1. Lugnaquillia 2. Atonimo Sakinimo 3. Class Vaincre
4th of 9	1/7/26	Monbetsu	1000m	C3 3U	4	Eita Inoue	57kg	Fast	1:01.90	58.2 km/h	5.8L	7-7	$43	27	$8,023	$689	1. Noir Parfait 2. Lugnaquillia 3. Atonimo Sakinimo

Based Tratra (2) 0847710578
Trainer: Kunio Himori()
Jockey: Masaaki Kuwamura
Weight: 57kg
Prize Money: $24,157
Win / Place: 18% / 31%

4 yo Bay Horse

Sire: ROGER BAROWS (JPN)

Dam: HAWAIIAN ROSE (JPN)

Rating

Stats

Career

22: 4-1-2

Distance

4: 1-0-0

Trk/Dst

3: 1-0-0

Track

9: 1-0-0

Season

14: 2-1-1

1st Up

2: 0-1-0

2nd Up

2: 1-0-0

3rd Up

2: 0-0-1

4th Up

2: 0-0-0

Metro

5: 0-0-0

Non-Metro

17: 4-1-2

Turf

4: 0-0-0

Good

4: 0-0-0

Dirt

18: 4-1-2

Firm

10: 2-0-1

Clockwise

21: 4-1-2

Anti-Clockwise

1: 0-0-0

Jockey Stats

Trainer

W 0% P 0%

Distance

W 0% P 0%

Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Distance

W 0% P 0%

Distance Range Last 6 months

1500m - 1700m

Comments

Failed to get into the race when eighth behind Yamanin Elama in a 3yo+ C3 at Mombetsu last start, beaten just under nine lengths at big odds. His previous run was weaker again, seventh behind Ho O Earnest and beaten over 15 lengths after making no late impression. A past track-and-trip win is noted, but the current form says he has plenty to turn around.

Expected Settling Position: Off Pace

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Class	Barrier	Jockey	Weight	Cond.	Race Time	Avg. Speed	Margin	800/400	SP	Days	Prize	Prize Won	Result
8th of 10	10/9/26	Monbetsu	1700m	C3 3U	1	Junki Mochizuki	57kg	Fast	1:50.80	55.2 km/h	8.9L	3-4	$77	14	$7,968	-	1. Yamanin Elama 2. Blast Black 3. Sweet Candy
7th of 9	27/8/26	Monbetsu	1700m	C3 3U	4	Yuji Iwahashi	57kg	Good	1:51.10	55.1 km/h	14.8L	2-7	$99	14	$7,964	-	1. Ho O Earnest 2. Blast Black 3. Sweet Candy
5th of 10	13/8/26	Monbetsu	1500m	C3 3U	10	Yuji Iwahashi	57kg	Fast	1:38.40	54.9 km/h	7.1L	4-9	$48	14	$5,789	-	1. Moon Rainbow 2. Blue Cosmos 3. Will Mischievous
10th of 11	30/7/26	Monbetsu	1600m	C3 3U	9	Yuta Ogawa	54kg	Good	1:43.80	55.5 km/h	13.8L	9-11	$24	16	$5,832	-	1. Ufufuto Runna 2. Yamanin Elama 3. M P Flip
1st of 9	14/7/26	Monbetsu	1600m	C4 3U	6	Fuma Ono	57kg	M	1:45.70	54.5 km/h	1.0L	1-1	$11	14	$8,023	$4,919	1. Based Tratra 2. King's Roar 3. Kibowa Hosho
7th of 9	30/6/26	Monbetsu	1700m	C4 3U	1	Fuma Ono	57kg	Fast	1:52.40	54.4 km/h	11.8L	2-1	$9.90	13	$8,023	-	1. Bach 2. Supercharge 3. Aqua Treasure

Meisho Gekiha (3) 423x09x874
Trainer: Junji Tanaka(Japan)
Jockey: Junki Watanabe
Weight: 54kg
Prize Money: $88,661
Win / Place: 0% / 33%

4 yo Bay Gelding

Sire: TRANSCEND (JPN)

Dam: EMERALD TOWER (JPN)

Rating

Stats

Career

18: 0-2-4

Track

8: 0-1-1

Season

5: 0-0-0

1st Up

5: 0-0-1

2nd Up

5: 0-0-2

3rd Up

4: 0-1-0

4th Up

1: 0-0-0

Metro

10: 0-1-3

Non-Metro

8: 0-1-1

Dirt

18: 0-2-4

Firm

3: 0-0-0

Clockwise

14: 0-2-3

Anti-Clockwise

4: 0-0-1

Jockey Stats

Horse

2: 0-0-0

Trainer

W 0% P 0%

Distance

W 0% P 0%

Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Distance

W 0% P 0%

Distance Range Last 6 months

1500m - 1800m

Comments

Worked home fairly for fourth behind Blue Cosmos in a 3yo+ C3 here last start, beaten just over five lengths at long odds. The run prior was plain, conceding a huge start before finishing seventh behind Moon Rainbow. He is race fit and the stable has strength at this venue, but an 18-start maiden record and distance query make the winning task difficult.

Expected Settling Position: Off Midfield

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Class	Barrier	Jockey	Weight	Cond.	Race Time	Avg. Speed	Margin	800/400	SP	Days	Prize	Prize Won	Result
4th of 7	10/9/26	Monbetsu	1500m	C3 3U	4	Watanabe	54kg	Fast	1:36.80	55.8 km/h	5.3L	6-2	$28	28	$5,791	$497	1. Blue Cosmos 2. Will Mischievous 3. M P Flip
7th of 10	13/8/26	Monbetsu	1500m	C3 3U	5	Watanabe	54kg	Fast	1:38.40	54.9 km/h	7.8L	8-5	$22	29	$5,789	-	1. Moon Rainbow 2. Blue Cosmos 3. Will Mischievous
8th of 9	15/7/26	Monbetsu	1500m	C3 3U	6	Genta Ochiai	57kg	Good	1:38.20	55.0 km/h	5.7L	6-3	$8.70	70	$5,832	-	1. Yamanin Tulsi 2. Moon Rainbow 3. Will Mischievous
70 Day Spell
9th of 11	6/5/26	Monbetsu	1800m	C3C4 3U	7	Yuji Iwahashi	57kg	Fast	1:59.80	54.1 km/h	5.4L	4-4	$6.00	13	$5,749	-	1. Silver Mirage 2. Sarasa How Nice 3. Sweet Candy
10th of 11	23/4/26	Monbetsu	1700m	C3C4 3U	4	Genta Ochiai	57kg	Good	1:52.10	54.6 km/h	15.2L	5-5	$1.90f	162	$5,949	-	1. Game Upload 2. Dream Jack 3. Buche De Noel
162 Day Spell
3rd of 10	12/11/25	Monbetsu	1800m	C2 3U	10	Genta Ochiai	57kg	Good	1:58.60	54.6 km/h	2.8L	4-4	$1.50f	14	$8,899	$1,151	1. Baldoria 2. Silver Mirage 3. Meisho Gekiha

Mission Eyes (4) 7656470950
Trainer: Kunio Himori()
Jockey: Shinya Matsui
Weight: 57kg
Prize Money: $23,500
Win / Place: 0% / 17%

4 yo Bay Horse

Sire: NOBLE MISSION (GB)

Dam: ALLURING EYES (JPN)

Rating

Stats

Career

35: 0-3-3

Distance

4: 0-0-0

Track

6: 0-0-0

Season

17: 0-1-3

1st Up

3: 0-1-0

2nd Up

3: 0-1-0

3rd Up

3: 0-0-0

4th Up

2: 0-1-0

Non-Metro

35: 0-3-3

Dirt

35: 0-3-3

Firm

18: 0-3-2

Clockwise

35: 0-3-3

Jockey Stats

Horse

1: 0-0-0

Trainer

W 0% P 0%

Distance

W 0% P 0%

Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Distance

W 0% P 0%

Distance Range Last 6 months

1000m - 1200m

Comments

Was second last behind Grandma's Dream over 1000m at Mombetsu last start, beaten seven lengths after settling rearward and making no impression. Two back, he was fifth over 1200m behind Kiminonawa Oryo at long odds. The sharp rise to 1600m is a genuine query, and his winless track and distance records leave him needing a major form reversal.

Expected Settling Position: Midfield

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Class	Barrier	Jockey	Weight	Cond.	Race Time	Avg. Speed	Margin	800/400	SP	Days	Prize	Prize Won	Result
10th of 11	3/9/26	Monbetsu	1000m	C3 3U	7	Shinya Matsui	57kg	M	1:01.60	58.4 km/h	7.0L	11-11	$189	14	$5,789	-	1. Grandma's Dream 2. Steel Spinel 3. Class Vaincre
5th of 9	20/8/26	Monbetsu	1200m	C3C4 3U	9	Shoma Kanayama	57kg	Fast	1:14.60	57.9 km/h	3.4L	6-6	$100	15	$5,789	-	1. Kiminonawa Oryo 2. Meresankh 3. Frontier Bright
9th of 10	5/8/26	Monbetsu	1200m	C3 3U	4	Takafumi Hattori	57kg	Fast	1:15.00	57.6 km/h	7.4L	5-5	$522	14	$7,964	-	1. Aono Sekai 2. Grandma's Dream 3. Suzu Robinson
11th of 12	22/7/26	Monbetsu	1200m	C3C4 3U	3	Yuji Iwahashi	57kg	Good	1:14.30	58.1 km/h	9.9L	8-8	$401	14	$5,832	-	1. Dunk Barows 2. Jason Barows 3. Aono Sekai
7th of 9	8/7/26	Monbetsu	1200m	C3 3U	7	Eita Inoue	57kg	Fast	1:14.80	57.8 km/h	8.6L	7-5	$107	13	$8,023	-	1. Taisei Surge 2. Jason Barows 3. Frontier Bright
4th of 7	25/6/26	Monbetsu	1000m	C3C4 3U	1	Eita Inoue	57kg	Fast	1:02.20	57.9 km/h	7.7L	7-6	$53	34	$5,709	$490	1. Cilantro 2. Lightning Jab 3. Win Galant
34 Day Freshen-Up

Will Mischievous (5) 1132123322
Trainer: Hiroyuki Oguni()
Jockey: Yamato Ishikawa
Weight: 57kg
Prize Money: $52,926
Win / Place: 21% / 68%

3 yo Chestnut Colt

Sire: ORFEVRE (JPN)

Dam: GRAVIOLA (JPN)

100

Rating

Stats

Career

19: 4-6-3

Distance

7: 3-3-0

Trk/Dst

6: 2-3-0

Track

18: 3-6-3

Season

10: 3-4-3

1st Up

2: 1-0-0

2nd Up

2: 1-0-0

3rd Up

2: 0-1-1

4th Up

2: 0-1-0

Non-Metro

19: 4-6-3

Dirt

19: 4-6-3

Firm

9: 3-4-1

Clockwise

19: 4-6-3

Jockey Stats

Horse

15: 3-6-3

Trainer

W 0% P 0%

Distance

W 0% P 0%

Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Distance

W 0% P 0%

Distance Range Last 6 months

1500m - 1600m

Comments

Has been around the mark without winning, finishing second behind Blue Cosmos in a 3yo+ C3 here last start when beaten three lengths as an odds-on favourite. He was also runner-up to Mana Sky the run prior, beaten a length after being sent out favourite. The defeat at short odds is the query, but two wins and three places from six starts at this track and distance make him the most reliable winning option.

Expected Settling Position: Off Midfield

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Class	Barrier	Jockey	Weight	Cond.	Race Time	Avg. Speed	Margin	800/400	SP	Days	Prize	Prize Won	Result
2nd of 7	10/9/26	Monbetsu	1500m	C3 3U	6	Yamato Ishikawa	57kg	Fast	1:36.80	55.8 km/h	3.0L	7-4	$1.70f	14	$5,791	$995	1. Blue Cosmos 2. Will Mischievous 3. M P Flip
2nd of 7	27/8/26	Monbetsu	1600m	C3 3U	7	Yamato Ishikawa	57kg	Good	1:45.10	54.8 km/h	1.0L	7-3	$2.20f	14	$5,789	$994	1. Mana Sky 2. Will Mischievous 3. Blissful Year
3rd of 10	13/8/26	Monbetsu	1500m	C3 3U	9	Yamato Ishikawa	57kg	Fast	1:38.40	54.9 km/h	1.1L	10-2	$1.80f	29	$5,789	$746	1. Moon Rainbow 2. Blue Cosmos 3. Will Mischievous
3rd of 9	15/7/26	Monbetsu	1500m	C3 3U	5	Yamato Ishikawa	57kg	Good	1:38.20	55.0 km/h	1.7L	6-3	$1.40f	14	$5,832	$751	1. Yamanin Tulsi 2. Moon Rainbow 3. Will Mischievous
2nd of 8	1/7/26	Monbetsu	1600m	C3 3U	6	Yamato Ishikawa	57kg	Fast	1:44.20	55.3 km/h	2.5L	4-1	$3.00	14	$5,832	$1,002	1. Alba Sole 2. Will Mischievous 3. Yamanin Tulsi
1st of 12	17/6/26	Monbetsu	1600m	C4 3U	6	Yamato Ishikawa	57kg	Fast	1:45.20	54.8 km/h	5.0L	8-1	$1.60f	14	$7,855	$4,816	1. Will Mischievous 2. Longing Dolce 3. King's Roar

Muscle Chummy (6) 6101523x21
Trainer: Fuyuki Igarashi()
Jockey: Ryuu Abe
Weight: 55kg
Prize Money: $53,633
Win / Place: 20% / 45%

Dominant Win Last Start

3 yo Bay Filly

Sire: VAN GOGH (USA)

Dam: SERIUS (JPN)

Rating

Stats

Career

20: 4-3-2

Distance

4: 1-2-0

Trk/Dst

4: 1-2-0

Track

17: 3-3-2

Season

9: 3-2-1

1st Up

3: 0-1-1

2nd Up

3: 2-0-0

3rd Up

2: 1-0-0

4th Up

2: 1-0-0

Non-Metro

20: 4-3-2

Dirt

20: 4-3-2

Firm

14: 4-3-1

Clockwise

20: 4-3-2

Jockey Stats

Horse

2: 1-1-0

Trainer

W 0% P 0%

Distance

W 0% P 0%

Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Distance

W 0% P 0%

Distance Range Last 6 months

1200m - 1600m

Comments

Made a strong statement at Mombetsu last start, winning a 3yo+ C4 by five lengths from Summer Bride after starting odds-on and putting a clear gap on the field. That followed a narrow second to Mana Sky, beaten a head, so she has come back in excellent order. One win and two places from four starts at this track and distance adds substance, and she is a major winning threat again.

Expected Settling Position: Leader

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Class	Barrier	Jockey	Weight	Cond.	Race Time	Avg. Speed	Margin	800/400	SP	Days	Prize	Prize Won	Result
1st of 10	8/9/26	Monbetsu	1600m	C4 3U	5	Ryu Abe	55kg	Fast	1:44.90	54.9 km/h	5.0L	1-1	$1.80f	28	$5,791	$3,553	1. Muscle Chummy 2. Summer Bride 3. Parikotopanana
2nd of 10	11/8/26	Monbetsu	1600m	C4 3U	10	Ryu Abe	55kg	Fast	1:44.90	54.9 km/h	0.2L	1-1	$3.20	69	$7,964	$1,367	1. Mana Sky 2. Muscle Chummy 3. King's Roar
69 Day Spell
3rd of 12	3/6/26	Monbetsu	1500m	C4 3U	1	Eita Inoue	55kg	Fast	1:37.50	55.4 km/h	3.2L	1-1	$12	14	$7,855	$1,016	1. Alba Sole 2. Will Mischievous 3. Muscle Chummy
2nd of 11	20/5/26	Monbetsu	1600m	C4 3U	8	Eita Inoue	55kg	Fast	1:45.80	54.4 km/h	1.0L	2-3	$2.40f	14	$5,749	$987	1. Moon Rainbow 2. Muscle Chummy 3. Aqua Treasure
5th of 14	6/5/26	Monbetsu	1200m	C4 3U	7	Eita Inoue	55kg	Fast	1:15.50	57.2 km/h	2.9L	6-6	$1.70f	21	$5,749	-	1. Asagao 2. King's Roar 3. Dia No Gotoku
1st of 9	15/4/26	Monbetsu	1200m	C4 3	9	Eita Inoue	55kg	Fast	1:14.90	57.7 km/h	1.5L	1-1	$6.80	56	$8,924	$5,475	1. Muscle Chummy 2. Koko Kohaku 3. Lightning Jab
56 Day Freshen-Up

Blast Black (7) 21122
Trainer: Junji Tanaka(Japan)
Jockey: Genta Ochiai
Weight: 57kg
Prize Money: $10,893
Win / Place: 40% / 100%

Jockey / Horse Combo

3 yo Dark Bay Colt

Sire: KITASAN BLACK (JPN)

Dam: JOY NIDERA (ARG)

Rating

Stats

Career

5: 2-3-0

Track

5: 2-3-0

Season

5: 2-3-0

1st Up

1: 0-1-0

2nd Up

1: 1-0-0

3rd Up

1: 1-0-0

4th Up

1: 0-1-0

Non-Metro

5: 2-3-0

Dirt

5: 2-3-0

Firm

2: 0-2-0

Clockwise

5: 2-3-0

Jockey Stats

Horse

5: 2-3-0

Trainer

W 0% P 0%

Distance

W 0% P 0%

Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Distance

W 0% P 0%

Distance Range Last 6 months

1000m - 1700m

Comments

Has not missed the top three in five starts, with two wins and three placings giving him a very honest profile. He led and was run down late when second to Yamanin Elama here last start, beaten two lengths, and produced a similar result behind Ho O Earnest two back. He should again put himself in the contest, but the last two finishes point more to a solid place chance than a standout winning edge.

Expected Settling Position: Leader

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Class	Barrier	Jockey	Weight	Cond.	Race Time	Avg. Speed	Margin	800/400	SP	Days	Prize	Prize Won	Result
2nd of 10	10/9/26	Monbetsu	1700m	C3 3U	6	Genta Ochiai	57kg	Fast	1:50.80	55.2 km/h	2.0L	1-1	$2.70	14	$7,968	$1,368	1. Yamanin Elama 2. Blast Black 3. Sweet Candy
2nd of 9	27/8/26	Monbetsu	1700m	C3 3U	5	Genta Ochiai	57kg	Good	1:51.10	55.1 km/h	2.0L	1-1	$2.60	28	$7,964	$1,367	1. Ho O Earnest 2. Blast Black 3. Sweet Candy
1st of 10	30/7/26	Monbetsu	1200m	C4 3U	10	Genta Ochiai	57kg	Good	1:14.90	57.7 km/h	1.5L	2-2	$1.40f	16	$5,832	$3,578	1. Blast Black 2. Steel Amber 3. Boules De Neige
1st of 8	14/7/26	Monbetsu	1200m	C4 3U	6	Genta Ochiai	57kg	R	1:15.50	57.2 km/h	3.0L	2-2	$1.60f	13	$5,832	$3,578	1. Blast Black 2. Full Vogue 3. Koyukichan
2nd of 12	1/7/26	Monbetsu	1000m	C4 3U	4	Genta Ochiai	57kg	Fast	1:01.90	58.2 km/h	7.0L	7-4	$1.60f	-	$5,832	$1,002	1. Riko Typhon 2. Blast Black 3. Flower Stella

Race Review Abbreviations

3WNC: Three wide no cover, Awk: Awkwardly away, Bk: Back, Blkd: Blocked, Btld: Battled, Chal: Challenged, Chkd: Checked, Cvr: Cover, Fdd: Faded, Fght: Fought, Fin: Finish, Hdd: Headed, Hld up: Held up, Hmprd: Hampered, Hndy: Handy, Kikd: Kicked, Kn: Keen, Ld: Led/Lead, Midf: Midfield, Mod pc: Moderate pace, Otf: On the Fence, ROS: Ran on strongly, Slow: Slow away, Snagd: Snagged, Stld: Settled, Tn: Turn, Trld: Trailed, Under pres: Under pressure, Under rd: Under riding, Urgd: Urged, Wd: Wide, Wdr: Wider, Weavd: Weaved, Wknd: Weakened, Wrkd: Worked

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