Kasamatsu Race 8

1400

Prize Money: $13,839

M T ROUGE (1) clearly deserves top billing after a determined Mombetsu win over 1000m, where she held Sergeant Pepper by a head and was well found in betting. The main reservation is the rise to 1400m, especially given she was beaten over 11 lengths the start prior, but that last-start turnaround gives her the strongest winning platform. ACTIVO (6) is the main danger on consistency, with two Kasamatsu seconds and placings from both attempts at this distance. She still has to convert those minor placings into a win, but her profile is solid. LACRIME (2) has placed three times from five starts and was second to On Bait two runs back, though her latest third was beaten over 11 lengths. KANHIZAKURA (4) improved sharply when third at Mombetsu at big odds, but the step to 1400m asks another question.

Distance: 1400m
Track: Good
Weather: -
Surface: Dirt
Class: COND

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M T Rouge (1) 471
Trainer: T Taguchi(Japan)
Jockey: Yuusuke Tsutsui
Weight: 55kg
Prize Money: $7,570
Win / Place: 33% / 33%

2 yo Dark Bay Filly

Sire: BAMBOO ERE (JPN)

Dam: M O RUBY (JPN)

100

Rating

Stats

Career

3: 1-0-0

Season

3: 1-0-0

1st Up

1: 0-0-0

2nd Up

1: 0-0-0

3rd Up

1: 1-0-0

Non-Metro

3: 1-0-0

Dirt

3: 1-0-0

Firm

2: 1-0-0

Clockwise

3: 1-0-0

Jockey Stats

Trainer

W 0% P 0%

Distance

W 0% P 0%

Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Distance

W 0% P 0%

Distance Range Last 6 months

1000m

Comments

Returns from five weeks off after a determined 1000m Mombetsu win, leading and holding Sergeant Pepper by a head on fast ground while near the top of betting. That was a sharp turnaround from a seventh to Ryuno Achilles when unwanted and beaten over 11 lengths. Race fit now and with Tsutsui Yusuke aboard, she rates clearly, but 1400m is the new test. If she carries that toughness up in trip, she is the one they have to beat.

Expected Settling Position: Off Pace

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Class	Barrier	Jockey	Weight	Cond.	Race Time	Avg. Speed	Margin	800/400	SP	Days	Prize	Prize Won	Result
1st of 10	18/8/26	Monbetsu	1000m	COND 2	8	Masaaki Kuwamura	55kg	Fast	1:03.20	57.0 km/h	0.2L	1-1	$4.90	13	$7,236	$4,439	1. M T Rouge 2. Sergeant Pepper 3. Menkoikoi
7th of 8	5/8/26	Monbetsu	1000m	COND 2	4	Ryu Abe	55kg	Fast	1:01.40	58.6 km/h	10.9L	6-6	$102	14	$17,367	-	1. Ryuno Achilles 2. Lady Pink 3. Million Jupiter
4th of 8	22/7/26	Monbetsu	1000m	COND 2	3	Ryu Abe	55kg	Good	1:02.40	57.7 km/h	3.7L	3-3	$1.80f	-	$36,449	$3,131	1. Southern Flower 2. Lucky Daughter 3. Sanyo Toppako

Lacrime (2) 70223
Trainer: Masayoshi Goto()
Jockey: Kazuki Akatsu
Weight: 55kg
Prize Money: $6,864
Win / Place: 0% / 60%

2 yo Bay Filly

Sire: ARCTOS (JPN)

Dam: MALIBU WIN (USA)

Rating

Stats

Career

5: 0-2-1

Distance

3: 0-2-1

Trk/Dst

3: 0-2-1

Track

3: 0-2-1

Season

5: 0-2-1

1st Up

1: 0-0-0

2nd Up

1: 0-0-0

3rd Up

1: 0-1-0

4th Up

1: 0-1-0

Non-Metro

5: 0-2-1

Dirt

5: 0-2-1

Firm

2: 0-0-0

Clockwise

5: 0-2-1

Jockey Stats

Horse

1: 0-0-1

Trainer

W 0% P 0%

Distance

W 0% P 0%

Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Distance

W 0% P 0%

Distance Range Last 6 months

1000m - 1400m

Comments

Placed again at Kasamatsu last start, but the bare margin matters: third to Satsuki Quantum, beaten over 11 lengths after working home evenly as a well-supported runner. The run prior had more merit when second to On Bait, beaten three lengths after being run down late. With three placings from five starts and Kazuki Akatsu aboard, she shapes more as a reliable place hope than a strong win play.

Expected Settling Position: Midfield

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Class	Barrier	Jockey	Weight	Cond.	Race Time	Avg. Speed	Margin	800/400	SP	Days	Prize	Prize Won	Result
3rd of 7	9/9/26	Kasamatsu	1400m	COND 2	1	Kazuki Akatsu	55kg	R	1:33.80	53.7 km/h	11.0L	4-3	$2.60	13	$13,111	$1,821	1. Satsuki Quantum 2. Peace Blossom 3. Lacrime
2nd of 6	27/8/26	Kasamatsu	1400m	COND 2	4	Kyoka Fukazawa	53kg	Good	1:33.60	53.8 km/h	3.0L	2-2	$5.50	13	$13,105	$2,912	1. On Bait 2. Lacrime 3. Satsuki Quantum
2nd of 7	14/8/26	Kasamatsu	1400m	COND 2	5	Kyoka Fukazawa	53kg	Good	1:31.80	54.9 km/h	4.0L	2-2	$11	38	$9,589	$2,131	1. On Bait 2. Lacrime 3. Shutter Chance
38 Day Freshen-Up
11th of 12	7/7/26	Monbetsu	1000m	COND 2	7	Junichiro Agishi	54kg	Fast	1:03.60	56.6 km/h	8.0L	11-11	$98	13	$7,290	-	1. Wakuwaku 2. Afro Kero 3. Morning Sumire
7th of 10	24/6/26	Monbetsu	1000m	COND 2	10	Junichiro Agishi	54kg	Fast	1:02.80	57.3 km/h	6.3L	9-9	$79	-	$35,683	-	1. One Sock Short 2. Davay Oscar 3. Au Dela

Half Size (3) 757
Trainer: Katsuyoshi Ito()
Jockey: Ichito Matsumoto
Weight: 55kg
Prize Money: $0
Win / Place: 0% / 0%

2 yo Bay Filly

Sire: GREATER LONDON (JPN)

Dam: AZUMA GIRL (JPN)

Rating

Stats

Career

3: 0-0-0

Distance

2: 0-0-0

Trk/Dst

2: 0-0-0

Track

2: 0-0-0

Season

3: 0-0-0

1st Up

1: 0-0-0

2nd Up

1: 0-0-0

3rd Up

1: 0-0-0

Non-Metro

3: 0-0-0

Dirt

3: 0-0-0

Clockwise

3: 0-0-0

Jockey Stats

Trainer

W 0% P 0%

Distance

W 0% P 0%

Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Distance

W 0% P 0%

Distance Range Last 6 months

1100m - 1400m

Comments

Finished last at Kasamatsu last start, tailed off behind Satsuki Quantum after being asked to make up plenty of ground and proving unequal to it. She was also fifth here two back, beaten over 12 lengths by On Bait at big odds. Unplaced in three starts and already twice unplaced at the distance, she needs a sizeable form turnaround to trouble the main chances.

Expected Settling Position: Pace

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Class	Barrier	Jockey	Weight	Cond.	Race Time	Avg. Speed	Margin	800/400	SP	Days	Prize	Prize Won	Result
7th of 7	9/9/26	Kasamatsu	1400m	COND 2	4	Abe Mototsugu	54kg	R	1:33.80	53.7 km/h	76.0L	2-7	$131	13	$13,111	-	1. Satsuki Quantum 2. Peace Blossom 3. Lacrime
5th of 6	27/8/26	Kasamatsu	1400m	COND 2	5	Abe Mototsugu	54kg	Good	1:33.60	53.8 km/h	11.5L	3-5	$150	35	$13,105	-	1. On Bait 2. Lacrime 3. Satsuki Quantum
35 Day Freshen-Up
7th of 7	23/7/26	Monbetsu	1100m	COND 2	1	Manato Kurosawa	55kg	Good	1:09.90	56.7 km/h	16.3L	4-7	$107	-	$36,449	-	1. Nishiken Tazu 2. Sanyo Captain 3. Vivi Camellia

Kanhizakura (4) 808663
Trainer: Yuya Goto(KASAMATSU)
Jockey: Seidai Myoujou
Weight: 55kg
Prize Money: $932
Win / Place: 0% / 16%

2 yo Chestnut Filly

Sire: TOWER OF LONDON (JPN)

Dam: LIS ROSE (JPN)

Rating

Stats

Career

6: 0-0-1

Season

6: 0-0-1

1st Up

1: 0-0-0

2nd Up

1: 0-0-0

3rd Up

1: 0-0-0

4th Up

1: 0-0-0

Non-Metro

6: 0-0-1

Dirt

6: 0-0-1

Firm

2: 0-0-0

Clockwise

6: 0-0-1

Jockey Stats

Trainer

W 0% P 0%

Distance

W 0% P 0%

Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Distance

W 0% P 0%

Distance Range Last 6 months

1000m - 1100m

Comments

Improved sharply at Mombetsu last start, finishing third to Ikor over 1000m and beaten just under three lengths despite starting big odds. Her previous sixth to Wilfred, beaten seven lengths, was plain enough, so the profile is mixed. The Yuya Goto yard is a plus and she has found some form, but the first attempt at 1400m keeps her in the place bracket.

Expected Settling Position: Off Pace

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Class	Barrier	Jockey	Weight	Cond.	Race Time	Avg. Speed	Margin	800/400	SP	Days	Prize	Prize Won	Result
3rd of 12	25/8/26	Monbetsu	1000m	COND 2	3	Ryoga Fujita	54kg	R	1:01.80	58.3 km/h	2.8L	8-5	$169	14	$7,236	$932	1. Ikor 2. Southern The Baron 3. Kanhizakura
6th of 11	11/8/26	Monbetsu	1000m	COND 2	5	Kondo Shogetsu	54kg	Fast	1:02.80	57.3 km/h	7.0L	6-6	$63	14	$7,236	-	1. Wilfred 2. Sudare 3. Makayense
6th of 12	28/7/26	Monbetsu	1100m	COND 2	5	Kondo Shogetsu	54kg	Good	1:10.20	56.4 km/h	3.6L	7-8	$251	14	$7,290	-	1. Legumes 2. La Vie Art 3. Pyrenees
8th of 12	14/7/26	Monbetsu	1000m	COND 2	1	Kondo Shogetsu	54kg	Good	1:03.00	57.1 km/h	6.4L	2-2	$262	14	$7,290	-	1. Mister Kiretto 2. Blond Knight 3. Makayense
10th of 11	30/6/26	Monbetsu	1100m	COND 2	10	Kondo Shogetsu	54kg	Fast	1:09.40	57.1 km/h	13.9L	3-4	$644	20	$7,290	-	1. Queue Balancee 2. Olive Oil 3. Legumes
8th of 10	10/6/26	Monbetsu	1000m	COND 2	9	Kondo Shogetsu	54kg	Good	1:02.60	57.5 km/h	15.0L	2-2	$74	-	$35,683	-	1. Angel Bonheur 2. Real Stereo 3. Ange Merci

Tyrement (5) 9996
Trainer: Masaharu Fujita()
Jockey: Satoshi Hosokawa
Weight: 56kg
Prize Money: $0
Win / Place: 0% / 0%

2 yo Bay Colt

Sire: FIEREMENT (JPN)

Dam: TYRRHENIA (JPN)

Rating

Stats

Career

4: 0-0-0

Season

4: 0-0-0

1st Up

1: 0-0-0

2nd Up

1: 0-0-0

3rd Up

1: 0-0-0

4th Up

1: 0-0-0

Non-Metro

4: 0-0-0

Dirt

4: 0-0-0

Firm

3: 0-0-0

Clockwise

4: 0-0-0

Jockey Stats

Trainer

W 0% P 0%

Distance

W 0% P 0%

Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Distance

W 0% P 0%

Distance Range Last 6 months

1000m - 1600m

Comments

Returns from five weeks off after a sixth at Mombetsu, beaten just over nine lengths by Bellagio Miraggio when unwanted in the market and unable to quicken. Two back he conceded a huge start and was ninth to Malatang over 1600m, beaten over 12 lengths at long odds. Unplaced in four starts, he has to find much more than recent efforts have shown.

Expected Settling Position: Backmarker

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Class	Barrier	Jockey	Weight	Cond.	Race Time	Avg. Speed	Margin	800/400	SP	Days	Prize	Prize Won	Result
6th of 8	20/8/26	Monbetsu	1500m	COND 2	5	Masaaki Kuwamura	55kg	Fast	1:40.00	54.0 km/h	9.4L	7-5	$86	14	$7,236	-	1. Bellagio Miraggio 2. Miravie 3. Overcrowd
9th of 12	6/8/26	Monbetsu	1600m	COND 2	3	Masaaki Kuwamura	55kg	Fast	1:47.10	53.8 km/h	11.5L	10-8	$250	16	$7,236	-	1. Malatang 2. Karenda Horse 3. Overcrowd
9th of 12	21/7/26	Monbetsu	1000m	COND 2	7	Kondo Shogetsu	54kg	Good	1:02.50	57.6 km/h	12.6L	9-9	$460	19	$7,290	-	1. Ville Michan 2. Best Sky 3. Taisei Allure
9th of 10	2/7/26	Monbetsu	1000m	COND 2	2	Kondo Shogetsu	54kg	Fast	1:03.30	56.9 km/h	19.4L	9-9	$352	-	$36,449	-	1. Koko Loa 2. Sobrina Forte 3. Taisei Allure

Activo (6) 422
Trainer: Yoshinaga Ohashi()
Jockey: Tatsuya Watanabe
Weight: 55kg
Prize Money: $8,473
Win / Place: 0% / 66%

2 yo Bay Filly

Sire: BIG ARTHUR (JPN)

Dam: LUPINUS GARDEN (JPN)

Rating

Stats

Career

3: 0-2-0

Distance

2: 0-2-0

Trk/Dst

2: 0-2-0

Track

3: 0-2-0

Season

3: 0-2-0

1st Up

1: 0-0-0

2nd Up

1: 0-1-0

3rd Up

1: 0-1-0

Non-Metro

3: 0-2-0

Dirt

3: 0-2-0

Firm

1: 0-1-0

Clockwise

3: 0-2-0

Jockey Stats

Trainer

W 0% P 0%

Distance

W 0% P 0%

Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Distance

W 0% P 0%

Distance Range Last 6 months

800m - 1400m

Comments

Returns from five weeks off with the most reliable Kasamatsu profile in the race, having run second here at her past two starts. Last time she was beaten nine lengths by Gifuno Oumasan after working home evenly, but the prior second to Hiruno Lugano, beaten two and a half lengths, reads well for this. Placed twice from two tries at 1400m and partnered by leading local rider Tatsuya Watanabe, she is a genuine winning threat.

Expected Settling Position: Leader

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Class	Barrier	Jockey	Weight	Cond.	Race Time	Avg. Speed	Margin	800/400	SP	Days	Prize	Prize Won	Result
2nd of 7	14/8/26	Kasamatsu	1400m	COND 2	1	Tsutsui Yusuke	55kg	Good	1:31.90	54.8 km/h	9.0L	4-3	$8.90	21	$13,105	$2,912	1. Gifuno Oumasan 2. Activo 3. Luxe Bonita
2nd of 5	24/7/26	Kasamatsu	1400m	COND 2	2	Tsutsui Yusuke	55kg	Fast	1:34.30	53.4 km/h	2.5L	1-1	$12	28	$13,202	$2,934	1. Hiruno Lugano 2. Activo 3. Luna Victoire
4th of 6	26/6/26	Kasamatsu	800m	COND 2	3	Tsutsui Yusuke	55kg	R	0:49.00	58.8 km/h	8.0L	2-3	$6.50	-	$31,524	$2,627	1. Gifuno Oumasan 2. Regina Kazu 3. Rito Mingo

Chairo Summer (7) 677045
Trainer: T Taguchi(Japan)
Jockey: Kyouka Fukazawa
Weight: 53kg
Prize Money: $1,092
Win / Place: 0% / 0%

2 yo Bay Filly

Sire: STELVIO (JPN)

Dam: ACT NATURALLY (JPN)

Rating

Stats

Career

6: 0-0-0

Distance

2: 0-0-0

Trk/Dst

2: 0-0-0

Track

2: 0-0-0

Season

6: 0-0-0

1st Up

1: 0-0-0

2nd Up

1: 0-0-0

3rd Up

1: 0-0-0

4th Up

1: 0-0-0

Non-Metro

6: 0-0-0

Dirt

6: 0-0-0

Firm

2: 0-0-0

Clockwise

6: 0-0-0

Jockey Stats

Trainer

W 0% P 0%

Distance

W 0% P 0%

Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Track

W 0% P 0%

Trainer/Distance

W 0% P 0%

Distance Range Last 6 months

1000m - 1400m

Comments

Came under pressure late and was tailed off behind Satsuki Quantum at Kasamatsu last start, after going around as an outside chance in the betting. The prior fourth to On Bait was also safely held, beaten nine lengths in a small field. She gets 53kg and is race fit, but being unplaced in six starts leaves her with plenty to prove.

Expected Settling Position: Midfield

Last Starts days since last start

Place	Date	Track	Distance	Class	Barrier	Jockey	Weight	Cond.	Race Time	Avg. Speed	Margin	800/400	SP	Days	Prize	Prize Won	Result
5th of 7	9/9/26	Kasamatsu	1400m	COND 2	6	Ken Takagi	55kg	R	1:33.80	53.7 km/h	42.0L	4-5	$14	13	$13,111	-	1. Satsuki Quantum 2. Peace Blossom 3. Lacrime
4th of 6	27/8/26	Kasamatsu	1400m	COND 2	2	Tsutsui Yusuke	55kg	Good	1:33.60	53.8 km/h	9.0L	4-3	$8.90	30	$13,105	$1,092	1. On Bait 2. Lacrime 3. Satsuki Quantum
10th of 12	28/7/26	Monbetsu	1200m	COND 2	11	Shinya Matsui	55kg	Good	1:15.10	57.5 km/h	18.4L	11-11	$264	14	$17,496	-	1. Lua Shuer 2. Mister Kiretto 3. Mind Angel
7th of 10	14/7/26	Monbetsu	1100m	COND 2	4	Eita Inoue	55kg	Good	1:09.80	56.7 km/h	6.2L	6-6	$173	14	$7,290	-	1. Tradescantia 2. Flame Flora 3. Anima Gemina
7th of 11	30/6/26	Monbetsu	1200m	COND 2	7	Eita Inoue	55kg	Fast	1:14.80	57.8 km/h	13.4L	2-2	$128	34	$7,290	-	1. Del Piero 2. Mad Secret 3. New Harpy
34 Day Freshen-Up
6th of 10	27/5/26	Monbetsu	1000m	COND 2	3	Eita Inoue	55kg	Fast	1:01.40	58.6 km/h	12.1L	6-7	$42	-	$35,928	-	1. Ange Art 2. Lady Pink 3. Airosa

Race Review Abbreviations

3WNC: Three wide no cover, Awk: Awkwardly away, Bk: Back, Blkd: Blocked, Btld: Battled, Chal: Challenged, Chkd: Checked, Cvr: Cover, Fdd: Faded, Fght: Fought, Fin: Finish, Hdd: Headed, Hld up: Held up, Hmprd: Hampered, Hndy: Handy, Kikd: Kicked, Kn: Keen, Ld: Led/Lead, Midf: Midfield, Mod pc: Moderate pace, Otf: On the Fence, ROS: Ran on strongly, Slow: Slow away, Snagd: Snagged, Stld: Settled, Tn: Turn, Trld: Trailed, Under pres: Under pressure, Under rd: Under riding, Urgd: Urged, Wd: Wide, Wdr: Wider, Weavd: Weaved, Wknd: Weakened, Wrkd: Worked

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